San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Will Alex Wood or Brandon Woodruff Limit the Offense?
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Will Alex Wood or Brandon Woodruff Limit the Offense?
The Milwaukee Brewers snuck by the San Francisco Giants in a 3-2 victory yesterday. In that game, Corbin Burnes and Carlos Rodon combined for 17 strikeouts and kept the offenses off-balanced all night.
Tonight, we could end up seeing the same thing. Both teams have struggled to make contact with the ball all season and continue to put up really bad strikeout rates.
Can the Giants return the favor with a win of their own in tonight's second game of the series? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants.
Giants vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: July 15, 2022
- Game Time: 10:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSWI, NBCSBA
Click Here for Giants vs Brewers Odds
Giants vs. Brewers Injury Report
Giants
Questionable: 3B Wilmer Flores (Calf) Out: C Curt Casali (Oblique), 3B Evan Longoria (Oblique), 2B Tommy La Stella (Illness)
Brewers
Questionable: OF Christian Yelich (Back)
Out: OF Tyrone Taylor (Concussion)
Giants vs. Brewers Line Movement
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Brandon Woodruff for tonight's game. In the three games back since landing on the injured list, Woodruff has a 2.19 xFIP with 41.5% of strikeouts and just 4.6% of walks.
He's been sensational. Compare those numbers to his 7-3 record and 4.01 ERA. Woodruff is still allowing a high amount of line drives and inducing a low amount of grounders, but the reality is that four of every 10 batters faced strikeout.
Balls in play don't matter when Woodruff is striking out batters at this rate.
The Giants have struck out 26.6% of the time against righties in the last 30 days using their projected lineup. Corbin Burnes struck out 10 yesterday and Woodruff can do the same.
The Giants have a .148 ISO and wOBA of .289 against righties in those 30 days and, again, have eight of nine batters striking out 20.5% of the time or more against righties.
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Meanwhile, Alex Wood will give it a go for the Giants tonight. Wood has a 6-7 record and an ERA of 4.43. However, Wood has been much better analytically in the last 30 days.
Wood has a 3.98 xFIP with 23% of strikeouts and 5% of walks. He's also inducing 47.1% of grounders, which has helped his cause. The left-hander has struggled more against righties, giving up a .346 wOBA and ISO of .221 to his last 77 right-handers faced, but overall, he'll take on a Brewers lineup that has struck out 24.2% of the time with their projected lineup against righties.
The Brewers certainly have more power in their lineup and will have at least seven righties to face the lefty. While Wood should pitch a solid game for the Giants, he has the worse matchup going up against this Brewers' right-handed heavy lineup that has a .207 ISO and wOBA of .383 in the last 30 days against lefties.
Therefore, I'll take Woodruff and the Brewers on the road, with the moneyline.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
- Brewers (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.