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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Sunday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Sunday: Cash In With This Expert's +630 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+349) (Bet $100 to win $349)

  • Marlins (-170)
  • Twins (-175)
  • Mets (-125)

The Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara for today's game. Alcantara is more than likely going to be the NL Cy Young. Anytime he's on the mound, the Marlins have a really good chance at winning. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is hitting a .108 ISO and wOBA of .274 against righties in the last 30 days. And while the Marlins haven't hit much either, a couple of runs off Mitch Keller isn't the hardest task ever. Take the Marlins.

Sonny Gray will take the hill for the Twins. He hasn't been as electric as he was to start the season but facing a Tigers lineup that has a .107 ISO and wOBA of .242 should only help him get back on track. Meanwhile, the Twins are hitting a .198 ISO and wOBA of .340 against righties in the last 30 days and get to hit off of Rony Garcia, who has a 5.98 xFIP in the last 30 days.

The Mets will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has actually out-pitched Joe Musgrove in the last 30 days. Musgrove will pitch for the Padres but has a 4.45 xFIP in the last 30 days while allowing over 50% of hard contact and plenty of line drive contact. Carrasco has a much lower xFIP and will take on a worse lineup analytically. Take the Mets.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+630) (Bet $100 to win $630)

  • Marlins vs. Pirates Under 7 (+100)
  • Guardians vs. White Sox Under 7.5 (-105)
  • Giants vs. Dodgers Under 8 (-115)

We hit our +569 totals parlay yesterday that featured only unders! Boring baseball is fun when you're winning money!

I already talked about the Marlins and Pirates game. I love Sandy Alcantara and don't think he'll have much of an issue with the Pirates' offense. Meanwhile, Mitch Keller ultimately has a 3.38 xFIP in the last 30 days and will take on a pretty poor Marlins lineup too. I like the Marlins to score a couple of runs, but still think this game goes under the total.

Dylan Cease has had a 3.45 xFIP in the last 30 days with 34.7% of strikeouts. Yes, his walks are high and the line drive rate is also high, but if he's going to earn 35% of strikeouts, he can get through this Guardians lineup that has a .131 ISO in the last 30 days against righties. Meanwhile, it'll be Shane Bieber for the Guardians. He has a 3.91 xFIP and has limited walks very well. This is a fun pitcher's duel. I'm on the under.

The Giants have struggled with two lefties prior to today's game against the Dodgers. Clayton Kershaw will be their hardest test, knowing Kershaw literally started the All-Star game on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Alex Cobb's analytics are so much better than his basic stats. He'll start today's game and is earning a ridiculous amount of ground balls in the last 30 days. I'll side with the under again in this one.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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