New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction: Will the Mets Sweep the Subway Series Behind Max Scherzer?

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction: Will the Mets Sweep the Subway Series Behind Max Scherzer?

The New York Mets found themselves down 2-0 in the top of the first inning against the New York Yankees last night. Mets fans were already in a panic until the Mets rallied for four in the bottom of the first. Mets fans now have faith. It's a different Mets team than those fans are used to. Currently, the Yankees still have more bragging rights with the best record in baseball. But another win for the Mets tonight would be something.

Can the Mets earn back-to-back wins over the Yankees in the Subway Series? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Wednesday's game between the New York Yankees vs. New York Mets.

Mets vs. Yankees Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: July 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: ESPN

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Mets vs. Yankees Injury Report

Mets

Out: C James McCann (Oblique), 1B Dominic Smith (Ankle)

Yankees

Out: OF Giancarlo Stanton (Achilles)

Mets vs. Yankees Line Movement

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Yankees fans aren't happy about this, but Domingo German will get the start for tonight's game against the Mets. German started a game after the All-Star break against the Astros to begin the second half of the season and allowed six hits and five runs, with two home runs, in three innings of work.

After that game, German had an xFIP of 7.67 and only struck out 11.1% of batters. It's a small sample size, and he's better than what he showed against Houston.

The Mets don’t have the best lineup against righties but should ultimately get the job done against German. The Mets are hitting a .170 ISO along with a .315 wOBA against righties with their projected lineup.

The Mets have limited strikeouts to under 19% and continue to hit a high rate of line drives against righties when they get the wood on the ball. The Mets figure to have some power against German between Pete Alonso, Daniel Vogelbach, and Brandon Nimmo, who all have solid power numbers against righties.

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On the other hand, the Mets will send out Max Scherzer, who is 6-2 on the season with a 2.28 ERA. In the last 30 days, the former Cy Young has had a 2.54 xFIP with 40.2% of strikeouts. He's ultimately been hard to hit since returning from injury.

Still, the Yankees have been good against right-handed pitching recently. As a projected lineup, the Yankees have a .224 ISO and wOBA of .354 against righties, along with 12.3% of walks.

However, the tricky part is that the Yankees have also struck out 22.8% of the time against righties, and going against Scherzer should increase that number when all is said and done.

The Yankees are getting consistent power from Aaron Judge, Anthony Rizzo, Josh Donaldson, Matt Carpenter, Aaron Hicks, and Joey Gallo against righties. But when they take on Scherzer, things will be a bit harder.

With that said, I'm taking the Mets at -.5 in the first five innings at -120. The Mets should be able to score runs against German with the power that they showed off last night. A couple of runs could be enough with a locked-in Scherzer on the mound.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Pick

• Mets -.5 F5 (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)

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