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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Wednesday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday: Cash In With This Expert's +571 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+571) (Bet $100 to win $571)

  • Phillies (-190)
  • Red Sox (+100)
  • Cubs (+120)

The Phillies are coming off a series win against the Braves. Now they'll take on the Pirates with Zack Wheeler on the mound. Wheeler hasn't been striking out batters at a ridiculously high rate but he's taking on a Pirates projected lineup that has struck out 27.8% of the time against righties in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, Zach Thompson will get the call for the Pirates. He's struck out just 10.8% of batters and has struggled with lefties. The Phillies have a couple of lefties that can destroy Thompson. Take the Phillies.

Kutter Crawford will get the start for the Red Sox tonight. I've enjoyed him this season. He has struck out 28.2% of batters in the last 30 days and looks like he could legitimately stick around in the rotation. Meanwhile, the Guardians will pitch Triston McKenzie, who has allowed 23% of line drives and has induced under 39% of ground balls in the last 30 days. I'm sticking with Boston, despite how bad they've been. It'll be a low-scoring win for the Red Sox.

The Giants have lost seven straight games and haven't been able to hit lefties in most of them. Tonight they'll take on Justin Steele, who is a lefty that has dominated right-handed pitching. On the other hand, the Cubs will take on Alex Wood, also a lefty, and have hit lefties with an ISO of .247 and ISO of .378 in the last 30 days. Chicago has also struck out a ton but should be able to use their power against Wood to win tonight's game.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+567) (Bet $100 to win $567)

  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays Over 9 (-115)
  • Guardians vs. Red Sox Under 9 (-110)
  • Cubs vs. Giants Under 8 (-115)

The Tigers have had so much more success against lefties this season. In the last 30 days, the Tigers have a .376 wOBA against lefties, and tonight they'll take on Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 4.65 xFIP with 16.7% of walks in the last 30 days. On the other hand, the Blue Jays should have an all-right-handed lineup against lefty Tyler Alexander. That should do the trick. Take the over.

I already talked about how much I like Kutter Crawford for tonight's game. Triston McKenzie will allow a high amount of line drives and doesn't get a ton of ground balls. However, he still has a 3.90 xFIP in the last 30 days with 27.6% of strikeouts. The Red Sox will score more, but this game will stay under the total.

While both lineups look good against lefties in the last 30 days, it's hard to trust either lineup against the two starters. The Cubs have more power potential and should be able to escape with a win because of it. But with Alex Wood's xFIP of 2.63 and Justin Steele's 55.6% ground ball rate in the last 30 days, I like pitching to dictate this game. Take the under.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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