San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Odds, Picks, Prediction: Can Justin Steele and the Cubs Dominate?
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction: Will Giants End 7-Game Losing Streak?
Coming out of the All-Star break, the San Francisco Giants were still thought to be contenders in the MLB this season. After seven straight losses and two series sweeps against divisional rivals, the Giants don't look like contenders anymore. They're currently 48-50 on the season and are absolutely falling apart before the trade deadline. The Giants will look to get back on track against the Chicago Cubs in the opening game of a home series tonight.
Can the Giants get back on track? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game between the Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants.
Giants vs. Cubs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: July 28, 2022
- Game Time: 9:45 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MARQ, NBCSBA
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Giants vs. Cubs Injury Report
Questionable: C Joey Bart (Illness) Out: C Curt Casali (Oblique) 2B Tommy La Stella (Illness), SS Brandon Crawford (Knee)
Out: OF Michael Hermosillo (Quadriceps), OF Jason Heyward (Knee), 2B Nick Madrigal (Groin), SS Andrelton Simmons (Shoulder)
Giants vs. Cubs Line Movement
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction
It'll be left-hander Alex Wood getting the start for the Giants tonight. Wood has a 6-8 record with a 4.21 ERA on the season. But the analytics tell a different story. In the last 30 days, Wood currently has a 2.63 xFIP in the last 30 days. In that time frame, he has also struck out 30.1% of batters while keeping walks under 3%. On top of that, Wood has earned nearly 50% of ground balls. However, the Cubs have also done well against lefties in the last 30 days. Chicago has hit a .247 ISO and wOBA of .378 against lefties in that time frame with their projected lineup. Obviously, the lineup isn’t going to look the same in a week. But for now, this lineup is raking against lefties, with only one player hitting an ISO of below .167 in the last 30 days.
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On the other hand, Justin Steele will get the call for the Cubs tonight. He's another left-hander and has a 4-6 record with a 4.02 ERA on the year. Unlike Wood, in the last 30 days, Steele has been worse than his analytics, holding a 4.87 xFIP and has allowed 12.4% of walks in that time frame. But like Wood, Steele has earned a high amount of grounders and has pitched well enough this season to earn some recognition. The Giants look really good on paper against lefties in the last 30 days. But once the second half of the season began, nothing has made sense for the Giants. The Giants have a .243 ISO and wOBA of .344 against lefties in the last 30 days with only three batters hitting a low ISO and wOBA in this projected lineup. Not only have the Giants struggled in the last week against lefties, but also, the Giants have struck out 27% of the time against lefties with their projected lineup in the last 30 days. Oddly enough, this lineup has still just hit 32.7% of grounders with 22.5% of line drives in the last month of baseball. Because they're going up against a ground ball pitcher, I'm not sure the Giants can sustain a low ground ball rate going into tonight's game. Give me the Cubs on the moneyline. The Giants have proven nothing and continue to stink against lefties despite what the analytics say. The analytics is taking into account their recent performance against Josh Hader. But since that moment, the offense has slumped.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Pick
- Cubs (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120)
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.