San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Odds, Picks, Prediction: Can Marcus Stroman Limit the Giants?

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Odds, Picks, Prediction: Can Marcus Stroman Limit the Giants?

The San Francisco Giants finally got into the win column with a 4-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs last night. The Giants had lost seven straight games before finally earning a win over the Cubs. The Cubs are all but out of the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Giants have a chance to get back to .500 with a win tonight. San Francisco isn't playing like a playoff contender, but their roster could easily start playing better to put themselves in a better position.

Will the Giants notch another win in tonight's game against the Cubs? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants.

Giants vs. Cubs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: July 29, 2022
• Game Time: 10:15 pm ET
• Where to Watch: Apple TV+

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Giants vs. Cubs Injury Report

Giants

 Out: C Curt Casali (Oblique) 3B Evan Longoria (Hamstring), SS Brandon Crawford (Knee)

Cubs

Out: OF Michael Hermosillo (Quadriceps), OF Jason Heyward (Knee), 2B Nick Madrigal (Groin), SS Andrelton Simmons (Shoulder)

Giants vs. Cubs Line Movement

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction

The San Francisco Giants will look to start a winning streak after earning their first win of the second half last night. To do that, they'll send Alex Cobb to the mound for tonight's game. Cobb has a 3-4 record with a 4.26 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, his xFIP is lower than his ERA, sitting at 3.67. He's not going to earn a heavy amount of strikeouts but will earn plenty of ground balls. In the last 30 days, he's induced over 60% of ground balls and has limited walks to 6.4%. There's a lot to like with Cobb, it just seems like year after year, he struggles to keep his ERA down for whatever reason. He'll take on a Cubs lineup that has a .139 ISO and wOBA of .316 against righties in the last 30 days. Chicago has also struck out 22.3% of the time in that time frame against righties but has also hit nearly 25% of line drives in that time frame. Only Willson Contreras and Cristopher Morel have inflated numbers against righties in the last 30 days. Contreras could end up being traded off this roster any day now. Meanwhile, Morel bats ninth in the order when he probably should be batting first.

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On the flip side, Marcus Stroman will get the call for the Cubs. Stroman is 2-5 with a 4.38 ERA but has also been a lot better than his ERA in the last 30 days. Stroman struggled early with Chicago and then landed on the Injured List. But since he returned, Stroman has had a 3.14 xFIP in the last 30 days with 25.5% of strikeouts. The right-hander has also earned 63.9% of ground balls in the last 30 days while keeping line drives under 20%. The Giants have struck out 21.8% of the time against righties and have a .122 ISO and wOBA of .282 with their projected lineup against righties. They haven't performed but when balls are batted into play, the Giants have limited ground balls to 30.6% while hitting 22.1% of line drives. It'll be interesting to see if Stroman will be able to earn a high amount of grounders against the Giants, who rarely hit grounders against righties, to begin with. Anyway, the Giants have struggled offensively throughout the second half while the Cubs really don't have much going for them on the offensive end either. I'll stick with the first five under in this game and rely on two premium pitchers who have been better than their ERA shows when looking at the analytics.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

• Under 4 F5 (-125) (Bet $125 to Win $100)

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