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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Thursday's stacked slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top run line and total runs picks.

MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday: Cash In With This Expert's +645 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

MLB Parlay Picks (+477) (Bet $100 to win $477)

  • Dodgers (-215)
  • Mets (-120)
  • Royals (+115)

The Dodgers continue to dominate the Giants game after game. The Giants have no hope left. Not against Clayton Kershaw, who has a 3.23 xFIP in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Giants will fake Jakob Junis, who has a 4.82 xFIP while earning just 17.4% of strikeouts. Take the consistent team here. The Dodgers.

The Mets simply look better analytically tonight. Kyle Wright has struggled against lefties recently and will have to take on a Mets lineup that should have six lefties in the lineup. On the other hand, Carlos Carrasco will get the start for the Mets. He has a high ground ball rate and should be able to earn a higher amount of strikeouts against a Braves lineup that is boom or bust. They've struck out nearly 25% of the time against righties in the last 30 days. Back the Mets at home.

Kris Bubic will take the mound for the Royals. The lefty has actually pitched much better against righties than lefties this year and will pitch against seven righties in the Red Sox order. He could have success. Meanwhile, Nick Pivetta has struggled against both sides of the plate in the last 30 days and the top of the order for the Royals, between MJ Melendez, Bobby Witt Jr., and Salvador Perez should pace the Royals in this game.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+645) (Bet $100 to win $645)

  • Athletics vs. Angels Under 8 (-105)
  • Blue Jays vs. Twins Under 8 (+100)
  • White Sox vs. Rangers Over 8.5 (-110)

The Athletics will send out Paul Blackburn, who made it into the All-Star Game this season. In the last 30 days, he has a 5.18 xFIP, however, he's taking on an Angels lineup that has a .040 ISO and wOBA of .204 when you take out Shohei Ohtani. He'll be fine. Meanwhile, Janson Junk will get the start for the Angels. He has a 1.41 xFIP after one start to go along with 40% of strikeouts. I'll trust him against the Athletics. Sonny Gray will take the hill for the Twins. He's been able to limit walks very well and for whatever reason, the Blue Jays have struggled offensively as of late. On the other hand, Alek Manoah will get the call. He's earned 22.3% of strikeouts and 5.4% of walks and should also cruise in this game against the Twins. Take the under.

Anytime I see a prospect make his major league debut, I'm on the over. Cole Ragans will make his major league debut. He's a lefty who will need to face an entire lineup of righties. On the other hand, Johnny Cueto has a 5.53 xFIP in the last 30 days and rarely earns strikeouts. The Rangers can do some damage as well at the top of their order. I'm on the over in this one.

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Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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