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Player prop expert John Hyslop is here with his favorite play of the day for Friday. His pick is centered around Dean Kremer of the Baltimore Orioles, who will be taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates.
ANALYSIS

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will Dean Kremer Shut Down the Pirates?

It's Friday night and we will be in need of some action. This is important (obviously) for our weekend since this is basically the kickoff to the whole thing. For that reason, I crunched the numbers extra hard for every game. All 14 of them. I looked at birth certificates, elementary school report cards, and old clips from little league. Basically, anything that could give us an advantage over the books.

It wasn't easy, but when all the numbers were fully crunched and all childhood data were analyzed, one play stood out like a sore thumb. The guy we are backing tonight was born for the exact purpose of starting this exact weekend out with a bang. There is no chance this play loses.

Orioles vs. Pirates Start Time, Where To Watch, And Odds

Date: Friday, August 5

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click here for Orioles vs. Pirates Odds

Orioles vs. Pirates Line Movement

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Odds Available at BetMGM

This one is at BetMGM for plus money as part of a new promo they're doing where they are trying to stimulate the economy (probably). If you can't play there, DraftKings is doing the same thing but with a lower price (-105) so they are an option as well. If neither of those books are available, look to FanDuel at 4.5 (-110). Although if you're at FanDuel, you may as well get wild and go 6+ (+200). We work too hard to half-step on a Friday.

We know Dean Kremer at this point. The guy is like a son to us. Like a good boy, he goes out there and tries to earn for us in every one of his starts. He doesn't show out either by going for more than one strikeout per inning as he's currently sitting at 41 strikeouts in 51.1 innings pitched on the season. He knows that anything more would make the books jack up his number which would be bad for us bettors. Class move on his part.

The other thing I've noticed our boy Dean doing is keeping it real at home for his fans while staying incognito on the road. So far this season, he's got 25 strikeouts in 25.1 innings pitched at Oriole Park. The last two times he's pitched there, he sat down six guys in one game and seven in the other. He respects his home fans which is always nice to see. Not only that, but he's also thrown the books off of his trail by only fanning 16 guys in 26 innings pitched on the road. This kid is wise beyond his years.

Tonight, Kremer will see the Pittsburgh Pirates, which will give him an opportunity to show out for his Baltimore people. When I say the Pirates strike out like it's their job, I mean it. We're talking about a team that looks like they're swinging at BBs in the dark. It's bad. Like 115 strikeouts in their last 397 at-bats bad. On top of that, they're on the road tonight, which they hate. On the season, only one team (Athletics) has struck out more than they have and that's only by one strikeout. That team has also had like 200 more at-bats. Any way you slice it, this is the Play of the Century.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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