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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Saturday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top run line and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Saturday: Cash In With This Expert's +554 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Parlay Picks (+402) (Bet $100 to win $402)

  • Phillies -1.5 (-130)
  • Astros (-165)
  • Giants -1.5 (-130)

I'm going with a couple of runline plays tonight. The Phillies will pitch Ranger Suarez, who has a 2.77 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's been lights out, earning plenty of ground balls in those 30 days as well. On the other hand, the Nationals have been awful against lefties, and without Juan Soto and Josh Bell, the lineup looks ugly. With Patrick Corbin on the mound, I'll trust righties like Alec Bohm and JT Realmuto to get the job done offensively.

The Guardians rarely hit for power against righties. Luis Garcia's only blemish is a little power to righties. The Guardians don't have power in their lineup from the right side. Meanwhile, Cal Quantrill has struggled against righties and he'll be taking the mound for the Guardians. Hitters like Jose Altuve, Yuli Gurriel, Tray Mancini, and Jeremy Pena all have potential against Quantrill. Back the Astros. It'll be Carlos Rodon on the mound for the Giants. He's got a 3.52 xFIP in the last 30 ays with 36.2% of strikeouts. He'll take on an Oakland lineup that has six batters hitting a .252 wOBA or worse and an ISO of .154 or worse in the last 30 days. Expect Rodon to cruise. Plus, the Giants should be able to get on base and score runs against Adam Oller, who rarely earns high strikeouts. If the Giants keep strikeouts down, San Francisco will go crazy offensively.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+554) (Bet $100 to win $554)

  • Marlins vs. Cubs Under 8 (-110)
  • Red Sox vs. Royals Over 9 (-120)
  • Blue Jays vs. Twins Over 9 (-115)

The Marlins and Cubs have just been so bad offensively in the last 30 days. The Cubs are hitting a .124 ISO with a wOBA of .264 against righties and will now have to take on Pablo Lopez, who has a 3.75 xFIP in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Marlins have a .071 ISO with a wOBA of .217 against lefties in the last 30 days. Today, they'll face Drew Smyly. Back the under between these two brutal offenses. Daniel Lynch has faced 60 righties without facing a lefty in the last 30 days. Tonight, he'll face a more balanced lineup that should keep him more off-balanced. Anyway, Lynch has allowed over 26% of line drives and should start to regress against a Red Sox lineup that still has a ton of power in the lineup. Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi hasn't pitched like an ace recently, allowing a 4.81 xFIP with just 14.9% of strikeouts. The Royals have a .327 wOBA and are hitting over 24% of line drives. There's potential with Kansas City offensively. Take the over.

The Blue Jays are relying on newly acquired Mitch White in tonight's game. White already has a 5.39 xFIP with low strikeouts and high walks. He's got a great future, but for now, he's not pitching all that well. On the other hand, the Twins will send out Dylan Bundy, who also has a 5.19 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's allowing solid power and will face a Blue Jays lineup that has a .186 ISO in the last 30 days against righties. I'm liking the over in this one.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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