Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Picks, Odds: Can the Phillies Get To Patrick Corbin?
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Picks, Odds: Can the Phillies Get To Patrick Corbin?
This evening, the Washington Nationals head into their third game of a four-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies. On Thursday, we saw a back and forth scoring match before the game was called in the middle of the fifth, with the Phillies up 5-4. Yesterday, we saw the Phillies pick up a 7-2 win, with four of those runs happening in the first inning. I expect those runs to come just as easily tonight off Patrick Corbin. Unfortunately, so do the books, as the Phillies are heavy favorites. Instead, I’ll look to another first five innings play, but this time with a team total. Let's get into my prediction, pick, and odds for the Phillies vs Nationals game.
Phillies vs Nationals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: August 6, 2022
- Start Time: 6:05 PM
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
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Phillies vs Nationals Line Movement
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction
The Nationals allow their opponents more runs than any other team in the league, currently giving up an average of 5.46 per game. They also happen to give up the most runs in the first five innings, 3.52 per game. One of the starters contributing significantly to that high average is southpaw Patrick Corbin (6.57 ERA).
Corbin has surrendered four or more runs to his opponents in five straight appearances, all before the fifth inning. Corbin’s stats speak for themselves, primarily through his 8.43 ERA and 2.00 WHIP on the road. Based on how aggressively the Phillies have played in the first two games of this series, I see them taking advantage of Corbin’s weaknesses tonight. Corbin already faced the Phillies in Washington, but he only lasted 3.1 innings before the Phillies scored nine runs— to his credit, seven were unearned but still a reflection of poor pitching. Corbin’s stats speak for themselves, primarily through his 8.43 ERA and 2.00 WHIP on the road. Considering the Phillies were able to inflict so much damage on Corbin in Washington, the runs should come just as easy tonight with the home-field advantage.
The Phillies and Nats have now faced each other ten times this season. The Phillies are 8-2 and have outscored the Nationals 58-33. Corbin’s start should provide another opportunity for the Philadelphia offense to shine and get on the board early. I’ll play the Phillies First Five Team Total over 2.5 runs at -150 available at DraftKings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick
Pick - Phillies First Five Team Total over 2.5 at -150 (Bet $150 to win $100)