Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will Gerrit Cole Get Revenge on Seattle?

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will Gerrit Cole Get Revenge on Seattle?

The New York Yankees ended a five-game losing streak after defeating the Seattle Mariners in the first game of their new road series. The Yankees haven't been nearly as good since the All-Star Break but have such a large cushion at 71-39, that they'll be fine. Meanwhile, the Mariners, who are fighting for a Wild Card spot, are still looking for their 60th win of the season. Can the Yankees start a winning streak with their ace on the mound tonight?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday's game between the Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees.

Mariners vs. Yankees Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: August 9, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: RSNW, YES

Click here for Yankees vs Mariners Odds

Mariners vs. Yankees Injury Report

Mariners

Questionable: OF Jesse Winker (Back) Out: C Curt Casali (Oblique), OF Julio Rodriguez (Wrist), OF Taylor Trammell (Hamstring), 1B Evan White (Groin)

Yankees

Questionable: 1B Anthony Rizzo (Back)  Out: OF Harrison Bader (Foot), OF Giancarlo Stanton (Achilles), OF Matt Carpenter (Foot)

Mariners vs. Yankees Line Movement

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Prediction

We're getting a rematch between Gerrit Cole and Luis Castillo tonight. Cole struggled in his last start against the Mariners, allowing six runs on seven hits with three home runs. However, he also tallied eight strikeouts and settled down after a brutal first inning. On the season, Cole is 9-4 with a 3.56 ERA. He's been really good but has had weird innings that have led to multiple runs and weird starts. In the last 30 days, Cole has had a 2.53 xFIP with a 35.9% strikeout rate. Any team will take that any day. Cole is putting up ace numbers but randomly putting together bad innings that hurt him. Anyway, he's taking on a Mariners lineup that still has a .281 wOBA against righties in the last 30 days. Cole has the advantage, he'll just need to keep the ball in the yard when he goes up against Ty France, Mitch Haniger, Jesse Winker, and Carlos Santana. All of those batters have inflated ISO numbers, although Haniger, just came back into the lineup.

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On the other hand, Luis Castillo did his part for the Mariners in his first game with Seattle. He went 6.2 innings and allowed three earned runs along with eight strikeouts and one walk. Castillo was New York's first choice at the trade deadline but Seattle outbid the Yankees and got their guy. Castillo has a 2.95 ERA on the season and a 4.01 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's struck out 28.9% of batters but has struggled to earn ground balls, which is odd for Castillo. The Yankees will no longer have Matt Carpenter in the lineup, after he fractured his foot, but could have Anthony Rizzo back in the lineup. He's been dealing with a back injury but would be a nice addition to the lineup against Castillo. With Rizzo in the lineup, the Yankees would have a .163 ISO and wOBA of .340 against righties in the last 30 days. Most of the power is coming from the top of the order, but the reality is, that the Yankees look better on paper against Castillo in comparison to the Mariners' offense against Cole. You won't see the Yankees at -130 with Gerrit Cole on the mound very often. So take it while you see it.

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Pick

• Yankees ML (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)

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