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The Cardinals and Brewers open a three-game series Friday night separated by just half a game in the division. Handicapper Ben Rajavuori is here with his best bets for the NL Central battle between the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers.
ANALYSIS

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Picks, Prediction: Will Paul Goldschmidt and St. Louis Roll?

Cardinals vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: August 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

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Cardinals vs. Brewers Line Movement

St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Cardinals and Brewers open a three-game series from Busch Stadium tonight in what will be a massive series for both dugouts. The Cardinals and Brewers are in a heated race in the NL Central, and it will almost certainly be one of the two who win the division, as the Cubs are 15 games behind first in third place. The Cardinals recently took the top spot from the Brewers, but the Brewers are only half a game behind them. The Cardinals are 8-2 in their last ten games, with a sweep over the Yankees included. The Brewers are 4-6 in their previous ten games and have seen immediate effects from trading closer Josh Bader, as multiple of their recent losses have been blown saves. Who will be in first after this series opener?

The Cardinals have now won eight games in a row at home, and I will take them to stay hot here at home behind Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery started against the Yankees in his first start from the team and looked excellent, going five innings with zero earned runs and only two hits allowed. Montgomery should be set up for success again today, as the Brewers have not hit lefties well this season. The Brewers are tied for 27th in the league in batting against lefties with a .221 average. They have consistently struggled against lefties all season, and hitting against Montgomery is no easy task. Montgomery was struggling before he was traded, but I think the trade brought a new fire to his game, evident in his shutout outing against the Yankees. Granted, that was against his former team, but usually, after a pitcher is traded, they look better because they want to impress their new team and have a newfound motivation. He should get run support as well tonight because one team who does not struggle against lefties is the Cardinals.

The Cardinals will face lefty Eric Lauer tonight. Lauer is 8-3 on the year but has a 4.47 ERA on the road. Lauer has gotten great run support all year, but as previously mentioned, I'm not sure he can rely on that tonight. The Cardinals are also among the best teams against left-handed pitching in the MLB. The Cardinals are second in the league with a .791 OPS against lefty pitching and have a .327 average against lefties over their last five games. The last time the Cardinals saw Lauer, they tagged him for five runs in six innings on the road. I expect a similar result tonight. The Cardinals have been crushing it at home and can make it nine wins in a row in Busch Stadium with a win tonight. I am taking them to be leading after five innings here.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop

Paul Goldschmidt is the best hitter in the league against left-handed pitching, and it's not even close. He is first in the MLB with a .447 average against lefties this season, and Luis Robert is second with a .400 average. Goldschmidt has 34 hits in 76 at-bats against lefties this season, and of those 34 hits, 16 have been for extra bases. Goldschmidt is also batting .367 with a 1.254 OPS in August and is a .365 hitter in Busch Stadium this season. I expect the leader in the NL MVP race to go yard tonight, but he could also cash this one with two singles, which is highly probable against a lefty.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop

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Article Author

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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