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This line feels mispriced, simple as that. Josh Gayle is here with his favorite play of the night between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Can Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Hang Some Runs On Kikuchi?

The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays will meet in what should be an exciting American League East showdown. Come check out our prediction, picks, and odds for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: August 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click here for Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds

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Blue Jays vs. Orioles Line Movement

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore has been absolutely rocking Yusei Kikuchi so this line feels odd. Kikuchi has started two games against Baltimore this season and Baltimore in both games scored FIVE runs in the first 5 innings. Baltimore just has this guy's number and this feels like it should be 2.5 all day. Kikuchi is projected to only go about 5 innings and his player prop for earned runs allowed is 2.5, so why are we getting this number? I’m not sure but we will take it.

Baltimore doesn’t hit lefties particularly well but seems to have Yusei figured out. Kikuchi has allowed 13 RBIs to these O’s bats over the course of 65 at-bats, one RBI every 5 at-bats on average. Kikuchi has allowed 2+ runs in 14/19 starts, this number is all around weird but I refuse to overthink it and think it’s a trap. I feel like after we tweet this one we move it to 2.5 anyway or at least heavily juice it at 1.5.

There really isn’t much to say on this one. Kikuchi is slightly better at home but he’s proven to allow 5 runs to this team at home before. Baltimore is due some positive regression due to only scoring 3 runs over their last two games. But when looking at the context it’s not even that bad, Shane McClanahan and Drew Rasmussen had the best start of his career, I think the O's bats are embarrassed and get some early runs here. Let's roll!

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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