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Detroit Tigers take on the Los Angeles Angels Saturday afternoon. Can Tyler Alexander mow down the Angels? John Hyslop is here to answer with this strikeout prop.
ANALYSIS

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can Tyler Alexander Mow Down the Angels?

It's Saturday and that means gambling. It just does. Next week we'll be basking in the glory that is College Football but this week, we're still getting down in the MLB. There's nothing wrong with that. In fact, I'm going to miss the boys of summer. They got us through some tough times and they come with a ton of plus money opportunities. What's not to like about that? Speaking of plus money opportunities, we have a fantastic one today. Games with non-strikeout guys going against strikeout teams always produce these things. They're glorious. Lucky for us, I dove deep into this one. So deep I didn't even think I would come back up. It got pretty scary. But I ended up fine and what I found was worth the dive. This bet has a 0.0% chance of losing. I can't wait to watch it play out.

Tigers vs Angels Start Time, Where To Watch, and Odds

  • When: August 20, 2022
  • Time: 1:10 PM EDT
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Tigers vs Angels Odds

Tigers vs Angels Line Movement

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels Pick

Tyler Alexander Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+130) (Bet $100 to win $130)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

We're at DraftKings for this one because FanDuel won't even give us a line on this guy. They know what time it is. Both BetMGM and Barstool were brave enough to give lines but neither could get higher than +123 so DraftKings will take the cake here. I'm still holding out hope that FanDuel comes correct at some point but I doubt it. If they do, a small ladder could be in play but honestly, a +130 move feels pretty good to me. We don't even need a ladder.

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

I get what you're probably thinking. Tyler Alexander? I know. I thought the same thing. Why the hell are we betting on a guy that only has 28 strikeouts in 54.1 innings of work this season? That feels really dumb. It actually might be. This guy isn't just flying under the radar, he's not even on the radar with numbers like that. He's pretty much on the no-fly list at this point but we need to be thorough when we evaluate. We can't be missing stuff. Especially when it's priced at +130.

The thing with this guy is he's a product of his environment (probably). For starters, he's not a real starter. Up until his last start, he hadn't thrown 90+ pitches in a game this season. How the hell is he supposed to strike guys out if he's not throwing pitches? That's impossible. But that problem is solved. He should go 90+ again today. On top of the low pitch count, the Tigers have been trotting him out against teams that don't strike out very much (Twins, Guardians, White Sox). It doesn't get much harder but he still fanned five in his start against the Twins like a king.

Opponents shouldn't be a problem today as the Tigers welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town. No team in MLB has struck out more than they have this season. Nobody. In the last two weeks, only three teams have fanned more so they are keeping their lead. These guys just struck out nine times yesterday and 11 times the game before. We could see up to six guys in the lineup that are all above 30% in strikeout rate over the last 15 days so it's not like it's one or two people. These guys just like to strike out. I don't know how it's going to happen, but I think Tyler Alexander's over is the sharpest play I've ever seen in my life.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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