Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick, Odds: Should You Fade Dean Kremer, Nick Pivetta?

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick, Odds: Should You Fade Dean Kremer, Nick Pivetta?

The Baltimore Orioles are playing on Sunday Night Baseball. It's probably been a long time since this has happened, but with a 62-58 record, Baltimore is finally earning some respect. They'll take on a Boston Red Sox team that is still looking to get back to .500 on the season. Both of these teams are currently in the Wild Card hunt in the American League. These games are important. Tonight's game will be played in Williamsport, PA, which is ultimately the home of the Little League World Series. This gives the little leaguers a chance to take in a big league game. Can the Orioles escape with a win in Williamsport? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: August 21, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: ESPN

Click Here for Orioles vs Red Sox Odds

Orioles vs. Red Sox Injury Report

Orioles

Questionable: OF Cedric Mullins (Lower Leg)

Red Sox

Questionable: 2B Jeter Downs (Ankle), 1B Eric Hosmer (Back), OF Tommy Pham (Back)

Out: SS Trevor Story (Wrist)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Line Movement

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Dean Kremer will get the start for Baltimore tonight. He's currently 5-4 with a 3.58 ERA on the season. However, in the last 30 days, Kremer has had a 4.49 xFIP with only 19.5% of strikeouts. Still, he's been able to limit walks to just 3.4%. He's pitched very well against lefties, even as a right-handed pitcher. However, righties are hitting a .387 wOBA and ISO of .254 against him in his last 71 plate appearances. In the Boston lineup, there will likely be six righties in the lineup. However, only Bobby Dalbec has hit consistently for power against righties. Boston is currently hitting a .130 ISO along with a wOBA of .296 against righties in the last 30 days. However, Boston is also hitting 24.3% of line drives against righties despite striking out 24.4% of the time. If Kremer can't get a high amount of strikeouts and Boston puts the ball in play, there's a good chance that the Red Sox are able to score some runs with hard-hit line drives.

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On the flip side, Nick Pivetta will get the start for Boston. He's 9-9 with a 4.28 ERA and has been kind of up-and-down throughout the season. Pivetta has had a 4.75 xFIP in the last 30 days while walking 8.9% of batters. However, he's getting a high amount of grounders and is limiting line drives to under 20% which is also very good. He's a righty that has struggled more against lefties in the last 30 days. Lefties have a .361 wOBA with an ISO of .173 in their last 61 plate appearances against him. Baltimore figures to have six lefties in their lineup to go up against Pivetta. The lefties in the lineup have combined to hit a .187 ISO and wOBA of .371 against righties in the last 30 days. There's potential with this lineup against Pivetta as well. To recap, Kremer struggles against righties and the Red Sox should have six righties in their lineup. On the other hand, Pivetta struggles against lefties and the Orioles should have six lefties in their lineup. Therefore, I'm riding the over in Williamsport. The kids want to see runs!

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

• Over 9 (+100) (Bet $100 to Win $100)

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