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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is here with his top MLB player prop bet for Tuesday. His pick comes from the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers game late night out on the West coast with his sights set on Tony Gonsolin.
ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can We Bank on Tony Gonsolin to Shut Down the Brewers?

When you go on a trip, you pick the hotel but you don't always pick the WiFi connection. In fact, I almost never think about the WiFi connection because that's just not how my brain works. I'm thinking beach, not WiFi. But this WiFi connection will be thought about next time. It's absolutely crazy that this is reality. In fact, this hotel should never be able to tell people that they have WiFi. It's pretty much a lie. Still, we need something to bet so it's on me to deal with horrific conditions. Lucky for us, I willed myself to continue when many would have given up and we all are going to benefit from that iron will. I found what I think could go down as the greatest bet in the history of bets. That's saying something too because there have been a lot of bets throughout history. We're living the dream people.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: August 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: SNLA, BSWI

Click Here for Dodgers vs Brewers Odds

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Dodgers vs. Brewers Line Movement

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Tony Gonsolin Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) (Bet $100 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings*

We're at DraftKings for this one but you could easily just play this one at FanDuel since they are showing 5.5 (-102). Still, if you play it at DraftKings, you can get that plus money feeling since there is a plus sign in front of the price. That's called tricking your brain and it is a key skill in life. If you do have to go to FanDuel there is a way to get that plus money feeling as you could just ladder this guy. His 7+ (+220) move seems like it could happen and if it does, +220 pays way more than +100 (math).

We're staying up late tonight but our guy, Tony Gonsolin, is 100% worth it in my opinion. We're talking all-time beard guy here and he is the perfect under-the-radar guy in terms of strikeouts. He's not a greedy, "strike 15 guys out" every start guy like some others around the league. We can't even bet those guys because their lines are too high. Instead, Gonsolin hovers right around the one whiff per inning of work range which makes him an enemy of the books. They can't price him. We're talking 261 strikeouts in 265.2 innings of work.

The thing about Gonsolin is he's got that dawg in him. What I mean by that is he'll fan at least six guys if the opponent is right and he's allowed to throw 90+ pitches. In his last seven starts where he threw at least 90 pitches, he's sat down at least six guys in five of them. One of those starts was against the Washington Nationals so that one doesn't even count. Those guys never strike out. Nobody in their right mind would have ever played him that day.

Tonight, Gonsolin gets the Milwaukee Brewers and even though he pitched against them in his last start (fanned eight), I'm still playing him again. I hate going back to back on teams but the Brewers are pretty ripe. First off, no team in MLB has struck out more than the Brewers have in the last two weeks. We're talking 137 times in their last 424 at-bats here. They are hitting .179 as a team in that span. By my count, we could see at least seven guys in the lineup tonight that has fanned at least 25% of the time over the last 15 days. There are another three in the 20+% range. I bet Gonsolin sits at least six of them down again tonight.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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