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This line doesn’t make sense to me. Time to take advantage. Josh Gayle is here with an MLB pick between the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers. Come find out who he's backing in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction: Can We Trust Drew Smyly Against The Brew Crew?

The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been playing too well recently and it's been a call for concern for the Brew Crew. Josh Gayle is looking to capitalize on their cold streak with a play tonight. Come find out his pick, prediction, and odds for this contest between the Brewers and Cubs.

Brewers vs. Cubs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: August 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Brewers vs Cubs Odds

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Brewers vs. Cubs Line Movement

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction

This line holds so much value, where do I begin? Drew Smyly is on the mound for Chicago and we’re riding with him today. Smyly has an earned runs prop of 2.5 as well and his implied outs his 18 so for him to go exactly 6 innings. We’re basically getting that prop for one less inning in theory and I love the matchup. This number just feels wrong, this should be 1.5 with juice on the over maybe.

Drew Smyly is a guy we ride with quite often and he’s great when we select him. He faces a Brewers team who hits lefties only at a .214 clip. This team is awful against lefties and now we expect them to score 3+ runs in the first 5 innings? I’m not sure about that. Smyly has been pitching some outstanding baseball allowing just 3 runs in his last 24 innings and hitting this prop in 7 of his last 9 games. The two misses were against the Dodgers and Giants who both hit lefties well. He should do his job today and allow 2 or fewer through 5.

Woodruff is in the mound for Milwaukee which makes me think the public may be on the Brewers so I’m okay fading the public here. Smyly has allowed only 6 hits in 37 at-bats to these Brewer batters' lifetime. That is a .162 average and if that persists then I like our chances at winning this one. If you don't have this market I would just take the Smyly u2.5 Earned Runs but you may have to sweat for an additional inning, let's hope that isn’t the difference between winning and losing. Let's roll!

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Pick 

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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