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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Monday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Monday: Cash In With This Expert's +628 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

MLB Parlay Picks (+441) (Bet $100 to win $441)

  • Red Sox (+100)
  • Phillies (-180)
  • Giants (-135)

Bryan Bello has pitched against 26 batters since returning to the mound for the Red Sox. Against those 26 batters, he's got an xFIP of 1.38 with 34.6% of strikeouts and 81.3% of line drives. He'll take on a Twins lineup that has a .097 ISO with a wOBA of .266. Meanwhile, Dylan Bundy will take the hill for the Twins with his 5.23 xFIP. The Red Sox also have a .317 wOBA against righties, which is way better than Minnesota. Take the Red Sox.

Arizona is hitting a .044 ISO with a wOBA of .231 against lefties in the last 30 days. Ranger Suarez will take the hill for the Phillies and he's been extremely good with a 3.65 xFIP in the last 30 days. Corbin Carroll might be in Arizona's lineup, but that doesn't phase me. The Phillies will take on Madison Bumgarner, who has struggled against righties. The Phillies have so much potential from the right side with their lineup.

Mike Clevinger is taking the mound for the Padres with a 6.82 xFIP in the last 30 days. I wouldn't trust him at all, even against the Giants. He's allowing enough extra-base hits to both sides of the plate and has struggled to keep lefties off the base paths. On the other hand, Carlos Rodon of the Giants has a 3.09 xFIP with 35% of strikeouts and 1.7% of walks. I'll side with Rodon here.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+628) (Bet $100 to win $628)

  • Dodgers vs. Marlins Under 7 (-110)
  • Cardinals vs. Reds Over 9.5 (+100)
  • Yankees vs. Angels Over 8 (-110)

Did anyone hit our +702 totals parlay yesterday? That was pretty slick, right? I don't think Pablo Lopez particularly pitches well in tonight's game. I just think the Marlins won't score anything against Tony Gonsolin. The Marlins have a .127 ISO with a wOBA of .294 against righties and should end up struggling against Gonsolin tonight. Dodgers should end u winning 5-0 or something like that.

I'm not too high on Miles Mikolas. He's struck out under 16% of batters faced and is giving up 41.1% of hard contact in the last 30 days. The Reds have some lefties that can do serious damage at the plate. On the other hand, Chase Anderson will make his first start of the MLB season. Last year, the veteran has a 6.07 xFIP. The Cardinals' offense is alive right now. That won't change tonight. Take the over.

If the Yankees are going to break out, it's got to be in this game. They've been much better against lefties and will face Jose Suarez, who has an ERA and xFIP above 4. On the other hand, Frankie Montas will start for the Yankees and he's allowed 25.5% of line drives in the last 30 days. The problem here is that the Angels have hit 25.5% of line drives against righties in that same time frame. If Montas can't earn strikeouts, he's doomed. Take the over in this one too.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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