Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction: Can Bryce Harper, Phillies Take Advantage of Henry?
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction: Can Bryce Harper, Phillies Take Advantage of Henry?
The Philadelphia Phillies are currently fighting for an NL Wild Card berth. The Phillies are 72-58 and will be looking to finish the regular season as one of the final three teams in the National League.
The only problem is that four teams are competing for three spots. The Phillies are currently facing the Arizona Diamondbacks and then will have to travel to San Francisco to take on the Giants afterward.
Can the Phillies hold on during this west coast road trip in Arizona?
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Wednesday's game between the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: August 31, 2022
- Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSAZ, NBCSP
Click Here for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injury Report
Diamondbacks
Out: SS Nick Ahmed (Shoulder)
Phillies
Questionable: OF Nick Castellanos (Toe)
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Line Movement
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies will send out left-hander Bailey Falter for tonight's game. Falter is 2-3 with a 4.41 ERA on the season and hasn't been much better in the last 30 days.
Falter has a 5.01 xFIP with 20% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. He's limited walks to 4.4% but is giving up 25% of line drives while only inducing 31.3% of ground balls when balls are batted into play.
Falter has struggled a bit more against righties, giving up a .226 ISO in the last 30 days, but ultimately, the Diamondbacks have hit an ISO of .055 against lefties in the last 30 days as a projected lineup.
There's reason to believe that Falter can escape damage against Arizona in this one as a left-handed pitcher.
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Meanwhile, the same can't be said for Tommy Henry of the Diamondbacks. Henry's also a lefty with a 3-2 record to go along with a 3.25 ERA.
But in the last 30 days, Henry has had a 6.07 xFIP. He's struck out under 17% of batters faced and has walked 10.3% of batters.
He's escaped damage by keeping extra-base hits down, but I'm not so sure he'll be able to keep power numbers down against this red-hot Phillies lineup that has destroyed left-handed pitching.
The Phillies have collectively hit a .226 ISO and a wOBA of .379 against lefties in the last 30 days. That's without Bryce Harper's production, as he just returned. Rhys Hoskins, Alec Bohm, J.T. Realmuto, and Jean Segura have all been red-hot as righties going up against lefties.
Therefore, I like the Phillies to slug Henry off the mound in tonight's game. Give me the Phillies on the runline at +110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick
- Phillies -1.5 (+110) (Bet $100 to Win $110)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.