San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Picks, Odds: Trust Kyle Gibson on the Mound
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Picks, Odds: Trust Kyle Gibson on the Mound
The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting at 73-58 and are over three games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Wild Card standings.
At this point, for the Phillies, that's all that matters. The Phillies ended up firing Joe Girardi in the middle of the season and still have a great shot at making the postseason.
They'll take on the San Francisco Giants, who are currently 61-68 on the season. The Giants are having a worse season than the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nobody saw that coming. Will the Phillies take advantage of San Francisco's poor play tonight? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants.
Giants vs. Phillies Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: September 2
- Game Time: 10:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Apple TV+
Giants vs. Phillies Injury Report
Giants
Questionable: OF Austin Slater (Finger)
Out: 1B Brandon Belt (Knee)
Phillies
Questionable: OF Nick Castellanos (Toe)
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Kyle Gibson will take the mound for the Phillies tonight. Although he has a 4.08 ERA on the season, he's been much better as of late.
Gibson has a 3.83 xFIP in the last 30 days with 23.4% of strikeouts and 5.5% of walks. He's also induced over 47% of ground balls while keeping extra-base hits down in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, the Giants have struggled offensively. San Francisco has done better keeping strikeouts down recently but still has an ISO of just .155 with a wOBA of .289 in the last 30 days against righties.
Only LaMonte Wade and Joc Pederson have been hitting righties consistently in the last month for the Giants. This is why the Giants have fallen in the standings this season.
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On the flip side, Alex Cobb will get the start for the Giants. Cobb is 4-6 with a 3.81 ERA on the season. However, like Gibson, he's been better recently, holding a 3.27 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's also struck out 24.8% of batters while earning over 60% of ground balls when balls are batted into play.
Cobb has also minimized line drive rates but is still getting hit hard, allowing nearly 47% of hard contact when balls are batted into play.
But not all hard contact is all that bad. Sometimes a hard ground ball results in an easier double-play ball.
The Phillies have hit nearly 45% of ground balls against righties in the last 30 days with their projected lineup. There will be ground balls. The Phillies also hit just a .124 ISO with a wOBA of .293 against righties in the last 30 days. Only J.T. Realmuto has been hot against righties during this time frame for the Phillies.
We've got two underwhelming offenses facing two pitchers who have pitched better in the last 30 days than they've pitched all season. Yeah, I'll go with the under here.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick
- Under 7.5 (-105) (Bet $105 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.