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The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the San Diego Padres in an exciting NL West MLB contest. Come find out who Jason Radowitz likes in this MLB game with his best MLB bet.
ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will Dodgers Keep Padres Out of Playoffs?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have reached 90 wins on the year. At 90-41, the Dodgers are 17 games ahead in the NL West over the San Diego Padres.

Los Angeles will hit their magic number in the next two weeks. Meanwhile, the Padres know they won't win the division, but the NL Wild Card is something to strive for.

The Padres are currently in the second slot in the NL Wild Card and will be fighting against the Phillies and Brewers for two spots in the playoffs.

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Saturday's game between the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres.

Dodgers vs. Padres Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: SNLA, BSSD

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Dodgers vs. Padres Injury Report

Padres

Out: SS Fernando Tatis Jr. (Suspension), C Jorge Alfaro (Knee)

Dodgers

Questionable: 2B Gavin Lux (Back)

Dodgers vs. Padres Line Movement

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a chance to make history this season. They could ultimately win the most games in MLB regular season history.

So although the Dodgers have the NL West pretty much locked up, there's more to go after.

Julio Urias will take the mound for the Dodgers tonight. The lefty is 14-7 with a 2.32 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, Urias has a 3.78 xFIP and has struck out 29.3% of batters while only walking 6%.

He's kept his line drive rate down and hasn't allowed many extra-base hits either.

The Padres, meanwhile, are only hitting a .130 ISO against lefties. Only Wil Myers has had real success against lefties in the last 30 days. Juan Soto has hit a .182 ISO with a wOBA of .337 in the last 30 days against lefties, so that's something to at least point out.

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San Diego, on the other hand, will pitch Sean Manaea. Manaea is another lefty who is 7-7 with a 4.90 ERA on the season.

Manaea has a 4.54 xFIP and has not been getting many ground balls in the last 30 days. On top of that, Manaea has allowed 21.3% of line drives and has been rocked by righties.

Righties are hitting a .397 wOBA and ISO of .230 in the last 30 days against Manaea, and the Dodgers figure to have eight righties in their lineup.

Not only are the Dodgers hitting a .157 ISO and wOBA of .343 against lefties, but they're also hitting 26.4% of line drives against lefties with their projected lineup in the last 30 days. On top of that, the Dodgers have hit just 34.2% of ground balls.

The Dodgers have had San Diego's number all season long. That won't stop today. I'll take the Dodgers -1.5 in this one.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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