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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is here with his top MLB player prop bet for Wednesday. His pick comes from the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins game with his sights set on Phillies starting pitcher Bailey Falter.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick, Odds: Should We Bank on Bailey Falter?

Phillies vs. Marlins Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:45 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Phillies vs Marlins Odds

I was eating breakfast this morning and all I could think about was gambling. I actually ate a little faster than I normally do because I wanted to get to the computer to find some action. That's called dedication people. Either you have it or you don't. Lucky for us, I do and even better when I went to the computer, I found a line so bad, the person who made it should be in jail. I'm serious. Someone should actually do time for this thing. It's the only way this madness will stop. Now I know that no one will actually be arrested over this thing so what I decided to do was bet the number. It's legit the only thing we can do at this point. At the end of the day, at least we'll have some free walking around money.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

Bailey Falter Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120)

*Odds Available at FanDuel*

This one is at FanDuel but plus money on this kid is everywhere else too. DraftKings has 5.5 (+105) and Barstool has 5.5 (+120). When the people at BetMGM roll out of bed, I'm sure they will post 5.5 for plus money as well. I've even heard people on the street saying that laddering this guy up to 7+ (+255) is in play. It's just a plus-money party at this point.

The thing that is noticeable about Bailey Falter is he kind of looks like The Undertaker. Obviously, he's not 6'10" tall and 300+ pounds but the hair and face are closer than it's not. I'd go with a younger, skinnier version of The Undertaker. Obviously the kind of pitcher you'd create on MLB The Show. I feel like you have to look like you've killed a man before to respect in this game and Falter has that look. Although I'm sure he's never harmed anyone (probably).

Falter is more than just looks though. He's way more although he definitely has the books fooled since they are only posting 5.5 for him. I get that he's only got 52 Ks in 57.1 innings of work but still. Falter has gone over this number in three of his last four starts. The time he didn't was against the New York Mets who don't even strike out. That start doesn't even count. The only concern is the Phillies haven't let him throw more than 84 pitches in any start this season but that only matters against teams that don't whiff.

Falter is pitching against a team that whiffs all the time tonight in the Miami Marlins. If anyone is wondering if 120 strikeouts in their last 391 at-bats is bad, the answer is yes. That's bad. Over the last week, they've fanned over 34% of the time so things aren't getting better for these guys. There are seven of them that could be in the lineup tonight that have fanned at least 31% of the time over the last 15 days. I'm not saying Falter is setting a record tonight but I think striking out six is firmly in the realm of possibilities.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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