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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is here with his top MLB player prop bet for Tuesday. His pick comes from the Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants game with his sights set on Rockies starting pitcher Kyle Freeland.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can We Bank on Kyle Freeland?

Rockies vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Rockies vs. Giants Odds

  • Run Line: Rockies -1 (+120), Giants +1 (-143)
  • Total: Over 11.5 (-110), Under 11.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Rockies (-115) , Giants (+105)

Click Here for Rockies vs. Giants Odds

When I woke up this morning, the first thing I did was grab my phone and started looking at lines. What we need to be doing as gamblers is find out if the San Francisco Giants are playing and who is pitching against them. Once we do that, we need to lay the wood on that guys over in the strikeout market. This world we live in is that easy these days. It just is. Well here's what happened today. The lines for all the games were up, but there were no pitcher props for the Giants and Colorado Rockies game. They just didn't exist. Like we wouldn't notice. But here's what the books didn't expect me to do. I just waited. I tell my kids all the time, that the key to life is patience. Because it is. It beats everything. Lose your bet? Just wait, there will be more games to get down on. Get locked up? Just wait, at some point, you'll be set free. Don't like someone? Be patient, at some point, you won't ever see them again. That's just how life works. Lucky for us, my patience paid off in a big way. We got the kind of line people dream about.

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Kyle Freeland Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-128) (Bet $128 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at FanDuel

This one is at FanDuel because everyone else is on to us. DraftKings is showing 4.5 (-135) which is very high. They aren't as bad as BetMGM who has 4.5 (-155). They should raid that place and arrest whoever signed off on that. That's just egregious. And I don't even use words like egregious but I have to call it like it is. The bonus with playing at FanDuel is we can ladder this guy up to 6+ (+172). I normally don't get too wild on Tuesdays since it's come-down day, but that option is always there.

The thing with Kyle Freeland is he's a hard guy to trust in the strikeout game. He definitely looks the part at 6'4", 204 pounds. But he's only got 627 strikeouts in 814.1 innings of work in his career. The jury is out on this guy. He's not a strikeout guy. If he suddenly becomes one, they're going to definitely make him pee in a cup. Maybe worse. Still, you have to dig deep into this game we play, and you know that's exactly what I did.

Here's the thing about strikeouts for some guys, they come and go. Kind of like Karma Chameleons. Case in point, Freeland has gone over five Ks in each of his last two starts and in there of his last five. The two starts he didn't were against the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets who really haven't been whiffing much lately. Certainly not enough to back a guy like Freeland. Plus he was on the road in those two starts too. Totally not his fault. He didn't make the schedule.

Tonight, the turntables have turned because Freeland gets to throw at a team that strikes out all the time in the San Francisco Giants. We're talking 155 strikeouts in their last 460 at-bats. What the hell is that about? Looking at their potential lineup tonight, they've got 11 guys that all could start that has fanned in at least 30% of their at-bats over the last 15 days. How does that even happen? There has to be somebody in the Bay Area that can do better. There just has to be. I don't know about you, but I don't even care that this game is at Coors Field. I'm taking Freeland's over.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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