San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will the Cardinals Feast on Mike Clevinger?
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will the Cardinals Feast on Mike Clevinger?
The San Diego Padres are looking to hold onto an NL Wild Card spot over the season's final two weeks. The Padres are 81-66 and deserve to make the playoffs. However, since acquiring Juan Soto from Washington, it feels like nothing has gone right.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals have run away with the NL Central in the second half of the season. Can the Cardinals finish strong and win the NL Central? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday's game between the St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres.
Padres vs. Cardinals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: September 20, 2022
- Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSMW/BSSD
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds
- Run Line: Padres -1 (-155), Cardinals +1 (+130)
- Total: Over 8 (-103), Under 8 (+105)
- Moneyline: Padres (-112) , Cardinals (+100)
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Padres vs. Cardinals Injury Report
Padres
Out: SS Fernando Tatis Jr. (Suspension)
Cardinals
Out: OF Tyler O'Neill (Hamstring)
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The St. Louis Cardinals will send out Adam Wainwright for tonight's game. The veteran right-hander is 11-9 with a 3.29 ERA. However, in the last 30 days, Wainwright has had a 5.18 xFIP with 11% of strikeouts. He's limited extra-base hits during that same time frame but has allowed a .388 wOBA to lefties in his last 55 plate appearances against them.
He's also allowed over 31% of line drives and has induced just 40% of ground balls. However, he's taking on a Padres lineup that has been very inconsistent over the last 30 days. San Diego is hitting a .137 ISO with a wOBA of .268 against righties in the previous 30 days using their projected lineup. The Padres have also struck out nearly 24% of the time against righties while only hitting 18.1% of line drives.
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Meanwhile, it'll be Mike Clevinger on the mound for the Padres. Clevinger has a 5-7 record with a 4.47 ERA. But in the last 30 days, Clevinger has a 6.24 xFIP with 15.9% of strikeouts. He's also allowed 45.6% of hard contact.
Lefties have an ISO of .231 against Clevinger in the last 30 days. But righties have even more success, hitting a .456 wOBA and ISO of .372 in his previous 50 plate appearances against righties. The Cardinals have hit much better than the Padres against righties, smacking a .158 ISO and wOBA of .308. They're getting consistent power out of Nolan Arenado, Albert Pujols, and Lars Nootbaar against righties. Paul Goldschmidt and Tommy Edman are also getting on base at solid rates.
Therefore, I'll grab the Cardinals on the moneyline in tonight's game. Wainwright has been much more consistent than Clevinger, and the Cardinals have been a better offense over the last 30 days compared to the Padres.
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick
- Cardinals (-105) (Bet $105 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.