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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Thursday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday: Cash In With This Expert's +612 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the OddsChecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Parlay Picks (+342) (Bet $100 to win $342)

  • Brewers (-150)
  • Astros (-190)
  • Guardians (-135)

Hunter Greene looked superb in his first start back since coming off the injured list. But he's still got an ERA close to 5.00 and has been inconsistent throughout the season. On the other hand, Brandon Woodruff will get the start for the Brewers. He's been much more consistent in the second half of the season for Milwaukee and has an xFIP of 3.22 in the last 30 days. The Brewers have the better lineup and pitcher, and they're in a race for an NL Wild Card spot. I'll be back in Milwaukee.

Verlander has thrown 48 batters in the last 30 days and struck out over 50% of them. He'll take on the Baltimore Orioles lineup that has a low wOBA in the previous 30 days against righties. Meanwhile, Kyle Bradish will take on an Astros lineup with five batters hitting a high ISO and wOBA against righties over the last 30 days. I'll take the best team in the AL in this spot.

Shane Bieber will take the hill for the Guardians. Bieber has a 2.94 xFIP in the last 30 days with 30.3% of strikeouts and 2.4% of walks. He's been terrific, along with the Guardians. They're getting closer to winning the AL Central. On the other hand, it'll be Johnny Cueto for the White Sox. He's been a great comeback year for Cueto, but he's still got an xFIP of 5.79 over the last 30 days while allowing over 30% of line drives. Look for Cleveland to take advantage of that.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+612) (Bet $100 to win $612)

  • Twins vs. Royals Over 8 (-115)
  • Braves vs. Phillies Under 7.5 (-105)
  • Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Under 7 (-105)

Jon Heasley will take the mound for the Royals. He has a 6.50 xFIP with 13.7% of strikeouts and 11.1% of walks. He won't get a high rate of grounders and continues to allow plenty of fly balls. The Twins have hit 22.4% of line drives against righties in the last 30 days with their projected lineup and should have some nice, hard-hit balls today. Meanwhile, Josh Winder will take the mound for the Twins with his 6.27 xFIP. He's allowing a ton of power from both sides of the plate. The Royals have hit over 25% of line drives against righties over the last 30 days. Therefore, I like both sides to have success hitting today.

Max Fried will pitch against Ranger Suarez in a huge game to start a four-game series. Fried and Suarez are both high ground-ball pitchers with the advantage heading into this game. Neither pitcher allows a high rate of line drives. The Phillies are hitting a bit better, but Fried is the more consistent pitcher. I'll take the Under in this game.

Zac Gallen probably doesn't get talked about enough. In the last 30 days, Gallen has had a 3.86 xFI with 30.7% of strikeouts. He's turned it on in the second half of the season and would be a Cy Young candidate if he was on a better team. Meanwhile, Julio Urias will take the hill for the Dodgers with 24.4% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. He's also limited line drives to 9%. Urias has given up some power to righties, but the only consistent hitter in the Arizona lineup against lefties is a lefty in Jake McCarthy. Urias will shut him down along with the rest of the lineup. Grab the Under.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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