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New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction and pick for Sunday Night Baseball between the two teams. Can Aaron Judge lead the Yankees to a win with his 61st home run on Sunday? Find out here.
ANALYSIS

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, Picks, Odds: Will Aaron Judge Hit 61st Home Run in 2022?

Before the season began, Aaron Judge bet on himself. He declined New York's extension offer and played out the final year of his contract. Now he's a little over a week away from clinching the American League Triple Crown. It's been an absurd season for Judge. He's helped the Yankees earn six straight victories as the home crowd continues to fill up the seats to watch Judge. ESPN's got baseball coverage for tonight. Judge will look to tie Roger Maris with 61 home runs in a season. He's got over a week to hit number 61 and break Maris' record with number 62. He's pressing right now with all of the pressure on him. But all baseball fans are hoping he can add two more homers this season. Can Judge get ahold of one tonight against the Red Sox? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN
  • Run Line: Red Sox (-130) , Yankees -1.5 (+110)
  • Total: Over 8 (-115), Under 8 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Yankees (-175), Red Sox (+150)
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Injury Report

Red Sox

Questionable: 2B Christian Arroyo (Illness)

Out: 2B Jeter Downs (Ankle), 1B Eric Hosmer (Back), 2B Jose Peraza (Undisclosed), SS Trevor Story (Heel)

Yankees

Questionable: 2B Marwin Gonzalez ((Head) Out: OF Andrew Benintendi (Wrist), 2B Matt Carpenter (Foot), 3B DJ LeMahieu (Toe)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Line Movement

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox will send out Bryan Bello, who is a rookie pitcher with a 4.75 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, Bello has had a 4.16 xFIP with 22.7% of strikeouts. He's walked 10% of batters and has allowed 25.7% of line drives over the last 30 days. Against righties, he's allowing a .276 wOBA and ISO of .037. He's giving up more line drives to righties, at 27%, but hasn't been allowing many extra-base hits. Meanwhile, the Yankees are hitting a .190 ISO with a wOBA of .333 against righties over the last 30 days. New York has hit just 17.4% of line drives, despite Aaron Judge hitting 40% of line drives against righties over the last 30 days. The Yankees are getting power out of Judge, Anthony Rizzo, Gleybar Torres, Giancarlo Stanton, and Oswaldo Cabrera against righties over the last 30 days. But there's no hitter like Judge right now. Judge has a .548 ISO with a wOBA of .611 against righties over his last 92 plate appearances. A line drive home run is doable, despite Bello having success against righties over the last 30 days.

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Meanwhile, Nestor Cortes will take the mound for the Yankees. He's 10-4 with a 2.67 ERA on the year. Cortes has a 4.82 xFIP but has over 23% of strikeouts with just over 7% of walks. Cortes is not inducing a whole lot of ground balls but has limited line drives to 35.9%. He's got a .256 BABIP and isn't giving up too much hard contact either in the last 30 days. Boston is hitting a .162 ISO with a wOBA of .313 against lefties. The Red Sox have struck out 26.7% of the time against lefties using their projected lineup and have hit under 36% of fly balls against lefties. Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez, and Enrique Hernandez have had success against lefties. However, the rest of the lineup hasn't been consistently hitting against lefties over the last 30 days. Therefore, I like the Yankees to win their seventh game in a row tonight. Judge has an interesting matchup against Bello tonight. He could seriously hit his 61st home run. But also, the rest of the Yankees are starting to get hot at the plate, especially when it comes to power. Take the Yankees on the moneyline.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

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Article Author

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insightpicks

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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