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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Saturday's massive slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Saturday: Cash In With This Expert's +598 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a total parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the OddsChecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Parlay Picks (+335) (Bet $100 to win $335)

  • Phillies (Game 1) (-190)
  • Brewers (-190)
  • Mets (-115)

We're doing a must-win parlay. But that's not the only reason we're doing it. Hear me out.

The Phillies will face Anibal Sanchez in the afternoon for the first game of the doubleheader. Sanchez has a 6.34 xFIP over the last 30 days and has struck out just 13.5% of batters while allowing 12.2% of walks. Throughout the season, Sanchez has allowed plenty of power to both sides of the plate, and the Phillies are getting a high ISO out of five of nine batters in their lineup in the last 30 days against righties. On the other hand, Kyle Gibson will get the Phillies' start. He's struggled more against lefties but will only face two lefties in the Washington lineup. Take the Phillies in Game 1.

The Brewers are going to send out lefty Aaron Ashby. He hasn't looked incredible since returning from the injured list, but he's getting 80% of ground balls. His command is always a concern, but the reality is that Ashby will have a short leash in this game. Meanwhile, Edward Cabrera has a 5.75 xFIP in the last 30 days for the Marlins, with 10.7% of walks. He's had his issues with righties. Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe have smacked righties around. If the other batters in front of those two can walk, the Brewers will be in business when those two are at the plate. Take Milwaukee.

Finally, the Mets will pitch Max Scherzer against the Braves. The Braves are boom or bust. They'll strike out and hit homers. They hit three solo shots against deGrom but also struck out 11 times through six innings. We'll get the same from Scherzer but likely won't see three home runs hit. Meanwhile, Kyle Wright will take the mound for the Braves. He's allowed a high ISO to lefties and a high wOBA to righties. The Mets will get back on track in this one.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+598) (Bet $100 to win $598)

  • Rays vs. Astros Under 6.5 (-105)
  • Rangers vs. Angels Over 8 (-120)
  • Rockies vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 (-105)

The Rays will send out Shane McClanahan, while the Astros will pitch Christian Javier. Both of these two pitchers have been remarkably consistent this season. McClanahan's command has been off recently, and he's not getting the strikeouts he had earlier in the year. But he's limited line drives in the last 30 days. On the other hand, Javier has struck out 37.5% of batters and will face a Rays lineup that has struck out 23.1% of the time in the last 30 days against righties. Let's roll with the under.

We've got a battle between two lefties. Jose Suarez will take the mound for the Angels. He's allowed 22.7% of line drives in the last 30 days while allowing a .384 wOBA and ISO of .221 to righties in the last 30 days. He's going to face at least seven righties in the Texas lineup, and those righties have a wOBA of .325 combined in the last 30 days. On the other hand, it'll be Cole Ragans for the Rangers. He's a lefty that has allowed 35.3% of line drives in the last 30 days. The Angels have hit 23.8% of line drives and have a .388 wOBA against lefties in the previous month with a lineup filled with eight righties. I'm on the Over 8.

The Dodgers have a .229 ISO and wOBA of .336 against lefties over the last 30 days. They'll take on Kyle Freeland, who has a 4.53 and a BABIP of .349 in the previous 30 days. On the other hand. Michael Grove will take the mound for the Dodgers. I'm not expecting much out of the Rockies. The Dodgers should do most of the hitting, but Grove allows many fly balls and rarely gets ground balls. Colorado's lineup should be able to get a couple of runs across the board to help push this game over.

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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