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The New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves will play on Sunday for their third game of a three-game series. Come find out Jason Radowitz's MLB bet for the Braves vs. Mets.
ANALYSIS

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Prediction, Pick, Odds: Will New York Avoid Sweep in Atlanta?

The New York Mets sent Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer to the mound on Friday and Saturday and got stuffed.

The Braves defeated the Mets in both games to win the series. However, if the Mets win their last four games, they'll still win the NL East division.

The Mets control their destiny.

Can New York avoid the sweep against Atlanta to tie things up in the division? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves.

Braves vs. Mets Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: October 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Braves vs. Mets Odds

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Braves vs. Mets Injury Report

Braves

Out: 2B Ozzie Albies (Finger), OF Adam Duvall (Wrist)

Mets

Out: OF Starling Marte (Finger), OF Darin Ruf (Neck)

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Prediction

Tonight's game is one of the most pivotal games you'll ever see. The Mets trail the Braves by one game in the NL East.

If New York can escape Atlanta with the win, the Mets will be tied for first place, needing three more wins to clinch the division.

Chris Bassitt will take the hill for the Mets. He's 15-8 with a 3.27 ERA on the year. In the last 30 days, he's holding a 4.04 xFIP with 23.2% of strikeouts.

He's also walked just 6.3% of batters and has earned 48.5% of grounders while allowing just 18.2% of line drives.

With their projected lineup, the Braves have a .236 ISO and wOBA of .344 against righties over the last 30 days. They've also struck out nearly 25% of the time. Again, Atlanta is boom or bust so far as they've hit homers in the first two games despite a high rate of strikeouts.

Meanwhile, Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Braves. He's 9-6 with a 4.29 ERA on the year. He's pitched worse this season in comparison to Bassitt. He's also been worse in the last 30 days, holding a 4.54 xFIP in that time frame.

Morton has struck out 26.9% of batters, but he's also walked 10.9% of them in the last 30 days. He's given up a high line drive rate and is getting under 41% of ground balls.

The Mets have hit nearly 22% of line drives with their projected lineup over the last 30 days. They've also walked over 10% and have limited strikeouts to 16.9%.

In the last 30 days, Morton has allowed a .356 wOBA and ISO of .333 to lefties. He's also given up a .336 wOBA and ISO of .189 to righties in the same time frame.

I like the Mets in this game over the Braves. If they win out, they're still going to win the division.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Pick

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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