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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Monday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Monday: Cash In With This Expert's +568 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a total parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the OddsChecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Parlay Picks (+542) (Bet $100 to win $542)

  • Reds (-125)
  • Blue Jays (-135)
  • Phillies (+105)

Hunter Greene will get the final start of his rookie campaign. In the last 30 days, he's holding a 2.96 xFIP with 42% of strikeouts. He's been tremendous as of late and will want to finish strong before the offseason. On the other hand, Hayden Wesneski will take the mound for the Cubs. He's been outstanding, too but is allowing some power to righties. Cincinnati's lineup is pretty light regarding power, but Wesneski allows a high rate of fly balls. The Reds will win if one or two of those can get out of the yard.

Jose Berrios has been inconsistent this year for the Blue Jays. But he'll need this tune-up game before the playoffs begin. Berrios has kept his walks down but is rarely getting strikeouts. He's taking on an Orioles bunch with six batters striking out at least 19.2% of the time. Meanwhile, Dean Kramer will get the call for the Orioles with his 6.28 xFIP. He's got lower strikeouts and higher walks. Toronto is starting to get hot against righties. I'll back them tonight.

Aaron Nola will man the mound of the Phillies. They could end up clinching the Wild Card tonight with a win and a Brewers loss. Nola has a 2.95 xFIP over the last 30 days and has struck out 32.1% of batters. He's been unstoppable, and now the Phillies have their best pitcher in the most significant spot. Lance McCullers will get the call for the Astros. He's been just as good but is allowing some power to righties. The Phillies have five players hitting at least 25.5% of line drives against righties over the last 30 days. They'll squeeze this game out and potentially win a Wild Card berth tonight.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks (+568) (Bet $100 to win $568)

  • Cubs vs. Reds Under 7.5 (-110)
  • Yankees vs. Rangers Under 8 (-120)
  • Rays vs. Red Sox Under 7.5 (-110)

The Reds will send out Hunter Greene, as I mentioned above. Green has a 2.96 xFIP over the last 30 days with 42% of strikeouts. He's taking on a Cubs lineup with a .282 wOBA against righties. That same projected lineup also has struck out 24.9% of the time against righties over the last month. And while I like the Reds to find a way to score, the reality is the offense is hitting a .238 wOBA with 26.3% of strikeouts. They still have the better matchup offensively, but neither lineup will have significant success offensively. Take the under.

The Yankees will send out Luis Severino for his final start of the regular season. The Yankees would love to see Severino finish the regular season on a high note going into the playoffs. Since he's returned from the injured list, Severino has a 3.97 xFIP with 28.6% of strikeouts. He's taking on a Rangers lineup with a .263 wOBA in the last 30 days against righties. Meanwhile, Martin Perez will make his final start of the year. He's been consistent throughout the season, and the Yankees have hit just 13.4% of line drives against lefties in the last 30 days. I'm on the under.

Tyler Glasnow is another guy coming off the injured list looking to get comfortable on the mound. Glasnow had one start and looked solid through three innings. Tampa Bay will hope they can get a couple more innings out of him before heading to the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Rays are hitting over 50% of ground balls against lefties over the last 30 days. The Red Sox will send out Rich Hill, who will make his final start of the season. The veteran lefty will be slick. He's getting high strikeouts and low walks over the last 30 days. I'll take the under in this one as well.

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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