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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for the loaded MLB Wild Card Round on Friday. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Wild Card Parlay Picks for Friday: Cash In With This Expert's +572 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a total parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the OddsChecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Wild Card Parlay Picks (+545) (Bet $100 to win $545)

  • Guardians (-125)
  • Mariners (+115)
  • Mets (-150)

The Guardians will take on Shane McClanahan of the Rays. The lefty has a 5.85 xFIP over the last 30 days and has really struggled analytically in the second half of the season. Cleveland has a .320 wOBA as a projected lineup against lefties in the last 30 days and should have some success offensively. At least, enough for Shane Bieber to get the win for Cleveland. Take the Guardians.

Luis Castillo will get the start for the Mariners tonight. He's a righty that induces plenty of ground balls and earns many strikeouts. The Blue Jays have hit 52.7% of ground balls in the last 30 days against righties. This matchup is terrible for Toronto. Plus, with Alek Manoah on the mound, the Mariners have potential. Manoah has a 5.31 xFIP in the last 30 days and is facing a Seattle lineup that has hit a .241 ISO and wOBA of .344 over the previous 30 days. Back the Mariners as underdogs.

The Padres have hit a .131 ISO and wOBA .287 against righties in the last 30 days. Only Juan Soto has had recent success. It will be hard against Max Scherzer, who has a 3.02 xFIP with 30.8% of strikeouts and 1.5% of walks. Meanwhile, Yu Darvish will get the call with an xFIP of 4.45 for the Padres in the last 30 days. The Mets have hit a .353 wOBA and have limited strikeouts while hitting many line drives. I've got the Mets in this one.

MLB Wild Card Total Runs Parlay Picks (+572) (Bet $100 to win $572)

  • Rays vs. Guardians Under 6 (-120)
  • Phillies vs. Cardinals Under 7 (-120)
  • Mets vs. Padres Under 6 (+100)

The Guardians should have more success offensively. But I don't think they will have some power surge against Shane McClanahan. McClanahan had a much better first half than the second half, but if he comes out struggling early, the Rays will take him out and ride their bullpen through the rest of the game. With Shane Bieber pitching on the other side, this game should go under with the Guardians winning this game.

The Phillies have just one batter consistently hitting lefties in the last 30 days. That's Jean Segura. Not Bryce Harper or Kyle Schwarber. They'll take on Jose Quintana, who has impressed this second half of the season with the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have just one batter hitting righties consistently. That's Albert Pujols, of all people. The Cardinals have to face Zack Wheeler, who has looked tremendous since coming off the injured list. I'm on the under.

Like the Cardinals and Phillies, the Padres have just Juan Soto hitting righties well in the last 30 days. Against Max Scherzer, you can't expect much out of the Padres lineup tonight. On the other hand, the Mets have hit righties well and should end up having more success tonight. But they've had their struggles against Yu Darvish. This will be a tight battle in a very low-scoring, close game.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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