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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for the stacked MLB Wild Card Round on Saturday. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Wild Card Parlay Picks for Saturday: Cash In With This Expert's +627 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a total parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the OddsChecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

MLB Wild Card Parlay Picks (+349) (Bet $100 to win $349)

  • Blue Jays (-165)
  • Mets (-190)
  • Phillies (-120)

Robbie Ray will take the hill for the Mariners. He's a left-handed pitcher who has struggled against righties over the last 30 days. Here's the bad news. Ray has been awful against righties over that month, giving up a high wOBA and ISO to righties., Toronto's got a lineup of nine righties with plenty of ISO power. Meanwhile, Kevin Gausman's struggled against righties too, but he's only going to face four righties and will take on five lefties in the Mariners' lineup. I'll take Toronto to tie the series.

I feel like I keep jinxing the Mets. But the analytics say to back the Mets here. deGrom still has a low xFIP with a high strikeout rate going up against a Padres lineup that hasn't had much power against righties in the last 30 days, hitting an ISO of .134. Meanwhile, Blake Snell will take the hill for the Padres. He's a lefty who will have to face a Mets lineup with a wOBA of .414 against lefties. The Mets are much better offensively against lefties. Back them tonight in a must-win situation.

Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals will take the hill trying to earn a Game 3 for St. Louis. Mikolas has given up an ISO of .245 to lefties in the last 30 days. The Phillies' lefties are hitting a .240 ISO with a wOBA of .353. That's not good for Mikolas. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola will pitch for the Phillies, and he's got a 2.80 xFIP over the last 30 days while throwing shutdown baseball. Back the Phillies to finish the Cardinals tonight.

MLB Wild Card Total Runs Parlay Picks (+627) (Bet $100 to win $627)

  • Rays vs. Guardians Under 6 (-110)
  • Mariners vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 (-120)
  • Phillies vs. Cardinals Under 6.5 (-105)

The Rays and Guardians don't have top-notch offenses. But they do have outstanding pitching. For both teams, pitching has elevated them throughout the season to make the postseason. Anyway, Tristian McKenzie will take the hill for the Guardians. He continues to develop at a high rate for Cleveland and has a high strikeout rate with a low walk rate over the last 30 days. Tyler Glasnow hasn't pitched much since returning from injury, but he's looked really good for the Rays. If he can go five innings and then allow the bullpen to do the rest, this game will go under the total. The Mariners will pitch Robbie Ray, who has allowed a .380 wOBA and ISO of .277 over his last 101 plate appearances against righties. He'll face his former team and nine righties in the Blue Jays' lineup tonight, who are hitting a .187 ISO and wOBA of .328. On the other hand, Kevin Gausman will take the hill for Toronto. Righties have hit a .346 ISO with a wOBA of .230 against righties in the last 30 days. Those righties in the Seattle lineup have hit a .238 ISO with a wOBA of .364. There are only four of them, but they're hitting righties hard. Take the Over. Finally, Aaron Nola has been fantastic this season. He's got a low xFIP, high strikeouts, low walks, and continues to earn a high amount of grounders. The Cardinals have one guy hitting consistently. That's Albert Pujols. On the flip side, Miles Mikolas has allowed some power to lefties and will likely allow some more tonight. But if Nola pitches the way I expect him to, this game will still go under the total.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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