Odds format
United States
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres open up the NLCS Tuesday night. Both teams were able to upset in the last round as dogs against the Braves and Dodgers to reach this point. Handicapper Jason Radowitz gives us his best bet for tonight's NLCS Game 1.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies NLCS Game 1 Prediction, Picks, Odds

Game 1 of the NLCS will begin tonight in the MLB. It's the Philadelphia Phillies going up against the San Diego Padres in Petco Park to begin the series. The Padres and Phillies snagged the NL's final two Wild Card spots. Now they're fighting for the chance to play in the World Series. It's funny how that worked out.

Will the Phillies earn an early win on the road tonight in a best-of-seven series? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday's game between the San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Padres vs. Phillies NLCS Game 1 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: October 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:03 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FS1

Padres vs. Phillies NLCS Game 1 Odds

  • Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+175), Phillies +1.5 (-205)
  • Total: Over 6.5 (-125), Under 6.5 (+105)
  • Moneyline: Padres (-125), Phillies (+105)

Click Here for NLCS Game 1 Odds

Error fetching data.

Padres vs. Phillies NLCS Game 1 Injury Report


No Injuries of Importance


Out: SS Fernando Tatis (Susepnsion)

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies NLCS Game 1 Prediction

Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Phillies tonight. He's 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA in the postseason after two starts.

In the last 30 days, Wheeler has had a 2.52 xFIP with 24.5% of strikeouts and 3.1% of walks. He's also induced nearly 64% of grounders while allowing just 16.7% of line drives. Wheeler has rarely allowed extra-base hits and has kept his wOBA and ISO down against both sides of the plate through his last 98 plate appearances.

He'll take on a Padres lineup hitting a .154 ISO with a wOBA of .317 over the last month. This projected lineup has also struck out nearly 25% of the time. San Diego has walked 10.3% of the time while hitting 21.9% of line drives. They've got some potential, but Wheeler looks to be the better pitcher on the mound in this game.

Bet $5, Win $200 Extra on your favorite MLB Moneyline now, once your team wins, with this HUGE DraftKings promo code!

On the other hand, we'll get Yu Darvish. He's 2-0 in the postseason but has a 3.00 ERA, which is higher than Wheeler's ERA.

In the last 30 days, Darvish has had a 3.52 xFIP with 26.8% of strikeouts and 4.1% of walks. He's been terrific but has only induced 27.7% of grounders while allowing 55.3% of fly balls. Darvish has kept his line drive rate down, so that's at least good. Still, lefties are hitting a wOBA of .329 and ISO of .279 over their last 64 plate appearances against Darvish.

The Phillies have two of the most powerful left-handed bats in the MLB, with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper at the top of the order. The lefties in the Phillies' order are hitting a .238 ISO with a wOBA of .348. That includes Schwarber, hitting a .444 ISO and wOBA of .438 over the last 71 plate appearances against righties.

Harper has a .194 ISO over his last 73 plate appearances as a lefty against righties. Even Brandon Marsh has shown some power from the left side against righties, holding an ISO of .207 over the last 65 plate appearances against righties. Rhys Hoskins and J.T. Realmuto have also been super hot against righties.

Therefore, I'm backing the Phillies on the road against San Diego in Game 1 of the NLCS.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page

Error fetching data.

Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.