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The NLCS is knotted up at one win each. The Padres and Phillies square off in Game 3 of the NLSC on Friday night from Citizens Bank Ballpark in Philadelphia. Handicapper Jason Radowitz gives us the best bet for tonight's NLCS Game 3.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres NLCS Game 3 Prediction, Picks, Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to hold a home-field advantage against the San Diego Padres in Game 3 of the NLCS. The Padres came into the series with a home-field advantage. However, the Phillies earned a win in Game 1 of the NLCS and are headed home with the series tied up at 1.

Philadelphia will now have three straight games at home, looking to close out San Diego in front of the home crowd. Can the Phillies go up 2-1 on the Padres in tonight's NLCS Game 3? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Padres NLCS Game 3 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: October 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:37 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FS1

Phillies vs. Padres NLCS Game 3 Odds

  • Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+150), Phillies +1.5 (-175)
  • Total: Over 7.5 (-105), Under 7.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Padres (-115), Phillies (-105)

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Phillies vs. Padres NLCS Game 3 Injury Report


No Injuries of Importance


Out: SS Fernando Tatis (Susepnsion)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres NLCS Game 3 Prediction

The San Diego Padres will send out Joe Musgrove for tonight's contest. Musgrove has a 1.38 ERA this year in the postseason and looked sensational as the team's third starter. He's holding a 3.65 xFIP over the last 30 days with 27.4% of strikeouts. He's walked over 10% of batters in that time frame and rarely earns a high amount of ground balls. But he's kept line drives down and, most importantly, hasn't allowed many extra-base hits.

The Phillies are hitting a .182 ISO and wOBA of .311 over the last 30 days against righties. Kyle Schwarber, Rhys Hoskins, J.T. Realmuto, and Bryce Harper have excelled against righties. However, the rest of the lineup has struggled, minus Brandon Marsh.

The Phillies have struck out 22.2% of the time and have walked 8.2% of the time against righties in the last month. Still, Philadelphia has hit 22.5% of line drives against righties.

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On the other hand, Ranger Suarez will get the start for the Phillies. He's a lefty who was pretty consistent throughout the season. That consistency is no longer around. In the last 30 days, Suarez has had a 4.83 xFIP with 18.6% of strikeouts and 11.6% of walks. He's given up a BABIP of .321 and allowed nearly 21% of line drives. His last 14 lefties, as a left-handed pitcher, have a .534 ISO and wOBA of .417, while his previous 72 righties have a .369 wOBA and ISO of .281.

The Padres are hitting a .189 ISO and wOBA of .339 over the last 30 days against lefties. But they've also struck out 25.6% of the time against lefties in that same time frame. Manny Machado, Wil Myers, and Trent Grisham have hit for power consistently, while Austin Nola has chipped in with a high wOBA of .377 against lefties over the last month.

The Padres have walked nearly 9% of the time. They've also limited ground balls and have hit close to 23% of line drives while hitting a BABIP of .345 against lefties as a unit. I'll back Joe Musgrove and the Padres lineup against Ranger Suarez and the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Pick

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Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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