Iowa vs. Wisconsin Prediction: Is Iowa's Offense Too Much for Wisconsin to Handle?

Iowa vs. Wisconsin prediction and pick for Thursday's college basketball showdown between the two Big Ten teams. Handicapper Jason Radowitz breaks down the game and gives us his favorite pick for this one.
Jason Radowitz |
Thu, January 6, 8:54 AM EST | 10 min read
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction: Is Iowa's Offense Too Much for Wisconsin to Handle?

If you love Big Ten basketball, Thursdays are for you. The Iowa Hawkeyes will take on the Wisconsin Badgers in an exciting Big Ten matchup in Madison, Wisconsin. Iowa is coming off a win against Maryland, 80-75 at home while the Badgers just knocked off Purdue, on the road, in shocking fashion. Can Wisconsin take that momentum and dominate Iowa, at home, or will Iowa's offense be too much for Wisconsin to handle? Here are our picks and predictions for this Big Ten matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Wisconsin Badgers.

Iowa vs Wisconsin Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Thursday, January 6, 2022

Game Time: 9:00 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: FS1

Click here for the latest Iowa vs. Wisconsin odds

Iowa vs. Wisconsin Injury Report

Iowa

Questionable: F Josh Ogundele (Ankle)

Wisconsin

No injuries to report

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Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction

For the first time this season, Wisconsin was fully healthy against the Purdue Boilermakers. It proved to be the difference, with Wisconsin defeating a top-ranked Purdue team, 74-69, on the road. Wisconsin is hard to figure out. This season, the Badgers only lost to Ohio State and Providence and are 11-2 on the year. However, analytically, the offense hasn't been good. Wisconsin is averaging just 70.6 points per game while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 46.5 percent. The Badgers literally shoot just 29.9 percent from three and 47.4 percent from inside the arc. Both of those numbers are below average in college basketball. However, Wisconsin doesn't turn the ball over and it allows them to get more attempts from the field. Limiting turnovers is crucial for teams that struggle to shoot the basketball consistently. The Badgers have played terrific defense and that's mostly why they've been winning games. Against Purdue, Wisconsin held the Boilermakers to 69 points on the road. That's extremely hard to do. The Badgers are 31st in the nation in defensive efficiency via KenPom and are just above average in almost every category defensively. However, Iowa's going to be a challenge defensively for Wisconsin. The Hawkeyes are the third-best team in offensive efficiency and have an effective field goal percentage of 54.7 percent while limiting turnovers to just 12.1 percent. Again, this is a game between the top two teams that limit turnovers the most on the offensive end. However, Iowa shoots 35.4 percent from long range and 55.6 percent from inside the arc. Both teams can also hit at a high percentage from the foul line, but I will say that Iowa has been better defending the three-point line defensively. The rebounding battle is also extremely close and I wouldn't be surprised if both teams finished around the same number when the game concludes. But with how great Iowa has shot the ball, I just don't think Wisconsin can keep up, even at home. If Wisconsin pulls off back-to-back wins over Purdue and Iowa I would be extremely impressed. But I don't think it's happening.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Wisconsin Badgers Tide Pick

  • Iowa +2.5 (-110)

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Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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