Daily Picks 12/20: Turning Up The Heat

Our NBA expert Stephen Rodriguez guides you through the best bets on Friday's action
Stephen Rodriguez
Fri, December 20, 10:25 AM EST

The Greek Freak took over Thursday night as he posted a monster double-double with 34 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists as the Bucks defeated the Lakers 111-104.

On Friday night, the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers both look to rebound at home after snapping undefeated double-digit home winning streaks.

Here’s a look at today’s NBA picks:

 

BET OF THE DAY:

New York Knicks @ Miami Heat (-10), 8:00 PM:

  • Miami has a 17-9-2 ATS record which is best in the NBA.
  • The Heat are 14-1 when listed as favorites this season. Stat courtesy of Statschecker.

Miami (20-8) got back on track and handed the 76ers their first home loss of the season on Thursday night, defeating Philadelphia 108-104. The Heat had five different players score in double-figures during the upset.

Rookie of the year candidate Kendrick Nunn led the way with a game-high 26 points, five assists and four rebounds.

New York (7-21) have found themselves in a groove lately, winning three of the last four games, including Tuesday’s 143-120 victory against the Atlanta Hawks.

Rookie RJ Barrett had his best day as a pro, scoring a career-high 27 points on 10-of-13 shooting. Center Mitchell Robinson also played big off the bench by posting a double-double with 22 points and a game-high 13 rebounds. 

The Heat have arguably one of the deepest teams in the NBA and one of the best at home with an (11-1) record at AmericanAirlines Arena. Despite the Knicks’ recent hot streak, Miami should have no issue extinguishing New York at home and covering the spread (-10) .

2u - Miami Heat  (-10) @ -105

Dallas Mavericks (+8.5)  @ Philadelphia 76ers, 8:00 PM:

  • Philadelphia has struggled ATS with a 12-15-2 record this season.
  • The Mavericks have a 9-6 ATS record against the 76ers since 2011-12. Stat courtesy of Statschecker.

Philadelphia (20-9) snapped a 14-game home winning streak after falling to the Miami Heat 108-104 on Thursday.

Joel Embiid played big, contributing a double-double with 22 points and 19 rebounds, plus three assists and two blocks.

The Dallas Mavericks (18-9) were short handed without MVP candidate Luka Doncic but nearly pulled off a home upset in a 109-103 defeat to the Boston Celtics.

Kristaps Porzingis powered his way to a double-double with 23 points, 13 rebounds and three blocks.

Tonight, Dallas hits the road where it has enjoyed the most success this season, posting the third best road record in the NBA (10-2).

Philadelphia has been amongst the best in the NBA at home with a (14-1) record at the Wells Fargo Center. However, the Mavericks have been scrappy ATS with a 16-11 record this season and are 5-3 overall as an underdog. With or without Doncic, take the Mavericks to keep this game close and cover the spread (+8.5).

1u -  Dallas Mavericks (+8.5) @ -105

Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics (-8), 7:30 PM

  • The Boston Celtics are 15-8-2 ATS this season, the second best in basketball.
  • Boston has a 15-3 overall record when listed as the favorite. Stats courtesy of Statschecker.

Boston (18-7) battled back and avoided a near upset by defeating the Dallas Mavericks 109-103 on Thursday.

Kemba Walker was lights out, shooting 50 per cent from the field and three-point range in scoring a game-high 32 points with five rebounds and three assists. Jaylen Brown added a near double-double with 26 points and nine rebounds.

Detroit (11-17) dropped a second straight game after losing 112-99 at home to the Toronto Raptors.

Andre Drummond was a force in the paint, posting a double-double with 22 points and 18 rebounds, adding two blocks and two steals.

The Celtics have been practically unbeatable at home with a (10-1) record at TD Garden. On top of that, Detroit has significantly struggled on the road with a (4-9) record. My expectation is Boston will take care of business at home and cover (-8).

1u - Boston Celtics (-8) @ -105

Stephen Rodriguez
TinoRodriguez__
Expert handicapper for both NBA and NCAAB with years of experience in the business
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
13
Losses
15
Push
0
ROI
-11.62%
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