BET OF THE DAY: (2u) Nuggets -7 @ -110
- Since the 2011-12 NBA season, the Denver Nuggets have a 95-61-3 against the spread record after a loss when playing as an away team. (Stats courtesy of Statschecker).
The reason we’re backing the Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets will look to rebound after a brutal loss to the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday.
Paul Millsap had 18 points, nine rebounds and three assists and Will Barton contributed 18 points with five boards in a 116-100 loss. Nikola Jokic added 16 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.
Since the All-Star break, the Nuggets have a 3-3 record. They also have averaged 16 turnovers per game during that stretch.
If Denver is going to bounce back against another inferior opponent in the Hornets, their key players will need to do a better job of ball distribution and cutting down on turnovers, which translates to easy baskets for the opposing team.
I expect the Nuggets to bounce back here. They will be fully rested and ready to go.
Take Denver minus the points in this matchup.
(1u) Rockets -1 @ -110
- The Houston Rockets have a 37-20 against the spread record as a home team coming off 2 days of rest since the 2013-14 NBA season.
The reason we’re backing the Rockets
The Houston Rockets will try to bounce back against the Los Angeles Clippers after a tough loss on Monday night.
James Harden finished with 35 points, eight assists and four steals and Russell Westbrook contributed 24 points, nine boards and three assists, but the Rockets fell 125-123 at the hands of the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.
Robert Covington added 20 points with 13 rebounds for the Rockets.
The Rockets will have their hands full on Thursday when they host a Clippers team riding a five-game winning streak and fresh off a 109-94 victory over the Thunder in Oklahoma City.
Despite an embarrassing loss to the Knicks, Houston actually has some impressive victories during the month of February, which includes wins over the Los Angeles Lakers, twice against the Boston Celtics and the Utah Jazz.
If the Rockets want to come away with a win against the Clippers, they will need to rely on their defense. Over the past 15 games, Houston is No. 10 in defensive efficiency in the entire NBA.
With consistent scorers like Harden, Westbrook and Covington, putting the ball in the hoop won’t be much of an issue but stopping the likes of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will be a daunting task.
With all of that said, I’m taking the Rockets in this game.
Houston holds a 2-1 record over the Clippers this season and I expect it to be 3-1 when Friday morning arrives.
Take Houston here.
(1u) 76ers +5 @ -110
- Since the 2010-11 NBA season, the Philadelphia 76ers have an 11-7 against the spread record against the Sacramento Kings.
The reason we’re backing the 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off back-to-back losses to the Clippers and the Lakers in their last two games.
Glenn Robinson III led the Sixers with 25 points and Tobias Harris added 18 points and seven rebounds, but the Lakers came away with a 120-107 win at the Staples Center.
The Sixers are being hampered by injuries. Ben Simmons has been dealing with a lower back injury and now Joel Embiid is nursing a shoulder issue that is expected to keep him sidelined as well.
Philadelphia better hope it gets healthy quickly. If not, the Sixers will be in trouble come play-off time.
In the meantime, I like the Sixers plus the 5 points on the road in this game. Not only do I think they cover, but I expect them to win as well.
Roll with Philly here.