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Expert handicapper Stephen Rodriguez is back with his picks for Wednesday night's NBA games

BET OF THE DAY: (**2u) New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 @ - 110**

New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings, 7:00 PM:

  •  The Pelicans have won five of the last six meetings with the Kings (three of which were on the road).
  •  New Orleans has a 16-11 ATS record against the Kings since 2012-13. (Stats courtesy of Statschecker).

The reason we’re backing New Orleans

New Orleans (28-36) hit the road and picked up a second straight win by defeating the Minnesota Timberwolves 120-107.

The Pelicans led nearly wire-to-wire behind a 37-point near triple-double effort from Jrue Holiday, who added nine rebounds and eight assists.

Zion Williamson was next in line with 23 points and Brandon Ingram posted a double-double with 15 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists.

Sacramento (28-36) fell back into the losing column after coming up short at home to the Toronto Raptors 118-113.

De’Aaron Fox did most of the heavy lifting, scoring a team-high 28 points on 8-of-16 shooting, and Nemanja Bjelica added a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Kent Bazemore and Alex Len each contributed 15 points off the bench.

These teams met in Sacramento earlier this season which resulted in the Pelicans winning by two points, 117-115, which explains why the spread is sitting so low.

With that said, New Orleans should have no issues covering the spread, especially with the success they’ve had over Sacramento.

(1u) Miami Heat -10 @ -110

Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat, 7:30 PM:

  •  The Hornets have a 5-9-1 ATS record against the Heat at AmericanAirlines Arena since 2014-15.
  • Miami has a 11-5 W/L record at home against Charlotte since 2014-15.

The reason we’re backing Miami

Miami (41-23) got back on track and won for the fifth time in the last six games, defeating the Washington Wizards on the road 100-89.

The Heat were without Jimmy Butler for most of the second half but managed to outscore the Wizards by 10 in the fourth quarter behind a big game from Bam Adebayo.

Adebayo posted a double-double with 27 points, 14 rebounds and six assists. Duncan Robinson added to the scoring, knocking down seven three-pointers for 23 points.

Charlotte (22-42) lost for the fourth time over the last five games after falling on the road in double overtime to the Atlanta Hawks 143-138.

Seven players scored in double figures, led by the efforts of Terry Rozier who knocked down eight three-pointers for a game-high 40 points.

Devonte’ Graham added a double-double with 27 points, 10 assists and four steals. Caleb Martin knocked down five three-pointers off the bench and contributed 23 points.

These teams faced off in Miami back in late November and the Heat won without breaking a sweat 117-100.

Miami is a sound team to begin with, yet when they’re at home they manage to be even better. The Heat are 27-4 at home this season.

Based on how this matchup turned out earlier this season, I have nothing but confidence in Miami covering and winning with ease at home.

(1u) Philadelphia 76ers -12 @ -110

Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers, 7:00 PM:

  •  The 76ers have won nine of the last 10 games against Detroit, including each of the last five meetings.

The reason we’re backing Philadelphia

Philadelphia (38-26) continued to struggle on the road and have lost three of the last four games after falling to the Golden State Warriors 118-114.

The Sixers continued to be short-handed without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid and turned to Al Horford and Tobias Harris to pick up the slack.

Horford totaled a double-double with 22 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. Harris added a game-high 24 points on 10-of-23 shooting.

Detroit (20-45) kept the losses piling up as they dropped a fourth consecutive game on the road in New York, losing to the Knicks 96-84.

Offense was an issue for the Pistons as the team shot 36 percent from the field and 28 percent from three-point range.

Christian Wood was one of two players to score in double figures with a game-high 22 points and eight rebounds.

Despite Philadelphia being awful on the road (10-24), they’ve been the complete opposite team at home (28-2).

With that said, I’m expecting a big bounce-back performance at home from the Sixers.


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