Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Predictions: NBA Playoff Picks
The Boston Celtics have a chance to tie things up in the Eastern Conference Finals tonight, all they need to do is solve Goran Dragic. The Heat are looking at taking a commanding lead, one that would ensure a trip to the NBA Finals. Let’s look at how all of that can benefit us!
Heat @ +135 ML
Everything here is leaning towards the Celtics, enough that people continue to jump on them laying points. I see it playing out the opposite mainly because of one thing that didn’t work for Miami last time, and really for the first time. Goran Dragic was abysmal. He turned the ball over and couldn’t score worth a lick. It was the first time we saw Boston come out and really put the clamps down on Dragic. While they will have a similar game plan, the Celtics won’t be able to stop a guy who ran all over the place in the first two games. Jimmy Butler has a chance to lead the rest of the cavalry against a now healthy Boston team. There is a good shot that Boston will come in a little too confident after winning game 3. I like Miami to win this game outright and push their lead to 3-1 on their way to the NBA Finals.
Under 210.5 @ +105
Even with everyone back for the Celtics expect this one to come in with a pretty low score. Boston isn’t going to increase the tempo because that may open things up for Dragic again, meanwhile the Heat will rely heavily on Jimmy Butler to get inside. This has Bam and Butler written all over it. Two guys who will get to the line, or simply take time off the clock to score. You will see plenty of 3’s taken from both teams, but there is a huge difference between good shots versus launching. Expect the stars from Tatum to Brown to show up and do their part, but too much is now weighted on Marcus Smart’s shoulders to continue to save anyone who struggles. Miami isn’t as worried about Tyler Herro or anyone off their bench, but don’t expect them to turn things over to him as their lead scorer.
Gordon Hayward Under 13.5 Points @ -115
Hayward is back and he didn’t get injured. That’s really the best takeaway from game 3, seeing this Celtics team complete for the first time in a long time. There shouldn’t be any true expectations that Hayward is going to light up the board tonight. In fact, he will play more of a facilitator than scorer. Depending on how his minutes play out in rotations, he might be the 5th option on the floor. He won’t be going toe to toe with Butler, battling back and forth in some drive to the hoop contest, so his main points will come from open shots. Boston isn’t going to rely on him to move the offense, rather take advantage of being open in the corner or wing. He will have to hit a couple of 3’s tonight to even get close to this number, I’m fading it. We just need a couple of more games under his belt before the love comes out for Hayward.