NBA Playoff Predictions - June 6
On Sunday, one series begins and one series ends. Neither will be easy for the favorite.
For the first time in NBA history, the road team has won the first six games of a seven game series. That means the Mavs are the pick here, right?
Not so fast. Looking back, it’s pretty clear that the Mavs’ 2-0 start to this series came thanks to some utterly unbelievable 3-point shooting. Over those first two games in LA, Dallas hit exactly half of their 70 threes.
The Clippers’ game plan was clear: they would shut down everything else that the Mavericks wanted to do, and if they died by the three, they’d live with the results. Well, they died, aided by the fact that they themselves only hit 24-of-73 triples in those games.
Despite the disparity, the Clippers lose the games by a combined 16 points.
Since then, the Dallas long-range shooting has cooled off. After another hot outing in Game 3 when they hit over 50 percent from deep, the Mavs have managed to hit just 30 percent of those attempts in the last three games. Unsurprisingly, the Clippers have lost two of those games by 25 and eight points, and in the lone game Dallas emerged victorious, LA was within one point with under a minute to go.
The Clippers are the better team. Maybe if Luka Doncic was fully right, without a nagging nerve injury that has caused him to hit just nine of his last 30 threes, this would be different.
But Kawhi Leonard is the player asserting himself, averaging 32 points on under 20 shots per game. The home team finally wins one.
Mavericks vs. Clippers Pick
The Pick: Clippers -6.5 @ -105
Expert Mavericks vs. Clippers Prediction
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