NBA Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet For Tuesday Night

NBA props expert John Hyslop is here with his top player prop pick at plus-money for Tuesday night's NBA action.
John Hyslop
Tue, November 2, 10:22 AM EDT

NBA Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet For Tuesday Night

If you didn't have fun last night chasing guys around for rebounds at plus money, then I don't know what to tell you. I thought it was electric. Both Mo Bamba and Darius Garland made us wait until the fourth quarter to cash which is why we do this. I waited until after lunch to see if something developed in the Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks game. That's the first game in the TNT doubleheader, so it makes sense to bet it. Wouldn't you know, another rebound prop popped up.

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Duncan Robinson 3.5 rebounds (+125)

Mavericks vs. Heat Odds

This one can be played anywhere, really, but  DraftKings has the best price, so I went there.  BetMGM is offering this at 3.5 +120, and FanDuel has 3.5 +118, so it's not like they are far off. Still, we want the best here, people, and 3.5 at +125 is the best we can get.

We could talk about how the Miami Heat is tops in the NBA in rebounding rate this season. That's definitely nice. If we want, we could also talk about how the Mavericks are 25th in the same metric. Also, nice, but it doesn't really help us that much.

The thing I like most about this is the fact that Robinson has cleared this number in every game except one this season. In the game where he didn't, he pulled in three boards. He should be around that number again tonight.

We get a slight boost in the fact that Duncan is pulling down his boards almost 10 feet from the basket. That plays well when Miami plays teams that jack up a lot of threes. Teams like the Mavericks. So far this season, only two teams in the NBA attempt more threes per game than Dallas. If that keeps up tonight, Robinson should coral at least four of the misses.

John Hyslop
@sloprules
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
5
Losses
2
Push
0
ROI
50.53%
0Betslip

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