NBA Parlay Picks for Sunday: Expert's +206 Three-Leg Parlay
Sunday's NBA Parlay
Everybody loves an underdog story, and today we're backing three of them to cover the spread and net us a tidy little profit. Each team has its own struggles to deal with and is all struggling for consistency, but we're giving them ample breathing room to help get us over the line.
- Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (Knicks vs. Cavaliers Odds)
- Washington Wizards +11 (Wizards vs. Bucks Odds)
- Houston Rockets +15.5 (Warriors vs. Rockets Odds)
NBA Parlay Odds: +206: Risk $100 to win $206
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NBA Parlay Breakdown
Julius Randle and his New York Knicks teammates sit fourth in offensive rating, averaging 114.4 points per 100 possessions. The Cleveland Cavaliers are slightly outside the top-10 in defensive rating, sitting 12th after allowing an average of 106.1 points per 100. Unfortunately, Cleveland's job isn't going to get any easier with Kevin Love and Lauri Markkanen poised to miss the game due to COVID protocols, while defensive wing Isaac Okoro is out with a hamstring injury. As for the Knicks, well, they enter tonight's game will a full bill of health. Unfortunately, the Cavs winning this one is a long-shot I'm unwilling to take, but with Evan Mobley patrolling the paint and Darius Garland orchestrating the offense, keeping things inside of 12 points is a reasonable expectation.
The Milwaukee Bucks continue their injury-riddled start to the season and will be without Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, Donte DiVincenzo, while Grayson Allen is questionable due to illness. Jrue Holiday is now back in the rotation, though, which will immensely improve the Bucks perimeter offense. The Washington Wizards have their own injury issues; Davis Bertans, Rui Hachimura, Thomas Bryant, and Winston Cassius will all miss tonight's game. As you would expect, the Bucks have struggled for consistency to start the year, primarily due to their injury list. Yet, with Giannis Antetokounmpo healthy and in the line-up, we can't look past the Bucks winning this game. Of course, we're coving our basis on both a Wizards loss and a potential win, but the most likely outcome is the Wizards losing by 11 points or less.
Finally, we're asking the Houston Rockets to avoid a blow-out loss against the Golden State Warriors, who lead the NBA in defensive and net ratings. The Warriors have been incredibly fun to watch this year, and Steph Curry has been in the post-season form right out of the gate – they're going to be a scary bunch once Klay Thompson is healthy and back to NBA-level conditioning. However, Golden State has only lost once in eight games and is currently on a three-game winning streak, while the Rockets haven't won a game since October 23rd. Furthermore, with the Houston Rockets languishing in 26th place for net rating, with a negative 6.6, it's hard to envision them turning their season around against the team with the leading record in the Western Conference. As such, we're giving the Rockets a healthy 15.5-point margin to cover the spread; all they have to do is use their size and length to keep things somewhat respectable.
Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets Same-Game Parlay
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Toronto Raptors +10
- Over 208.5 points
- Odds: +149
An impressive Toronto Raptors team, who are defying all early-season expectations, currently sit sixth in net rating, positive a positive 4.3 points per game. Their opponents: the fearsome Brooklyn Nets, sit 14th despite their top-5 defense, as for some reason, their offense has failed to click and is only averaging 104 points per 100 possessions. Both teams are missing a key rotation piece heading into tonight's contest, but neither team is adjusting to this loss, as they have dealt with it all season.
Kyrie Irving's absence weakens the Brooklyn Nets guard rotation, while Pascal Siakam is still recovering from a shoulder injury he sustained last season. Nic Claxton will also be out for Brooklyn, while Yuta Watanabe remains in street clothes for the Raptors. Honestly, despite what we expected from Nick Nurse's team to begin the season, they're proving to be a formidable contender and have been buoyed by Scottie Barnes' adaption to the NBA game. We're not expecting the Raptors to win, but we're also not punishing ourselves if they do. A ten-point cushion is a fair head start, but against the Nets, maybe too little.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Hornets Same-Game Parlay
Game Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Charlotte Hornets +13.5
- Under 228.5 points
- Odds: +100
West Coast road trips are something no Eastern Conference team looks forward to, and for the Charlotte Hornets, things aren't going according to plan. After a promising start to the season, LaMelo Ball and company are on a three-game losing streak stemming from their loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers and were recently destroyed by the Sacramento Kings. Posting a negative 2.8 net rating displays the disparity between the Hornets' exciting offense and leaky defense, which the Los Angeles Clippers will dutifully exploit.
Both teams sit at .500 at this early juncture, but the Clippers have momentum coming into the game after winning their last three consecutive games. Furthermore, the Clippers will be boosted by the return of Serge Ibaka to their rotation as he gets ready to make his season debut. While the Hornets' offense is box-office, the Clippers are on a different trajectory from their Eastern Conference foes. The Clippers will look to finally get above .500 as they bid to prove their credentials as championship contenders. We're being nice to ourselves here, though, as we cover the Hornets to lose by less than 13 points while still cashing out if they end up winning the contest, which is perfectly plausible.