NBA Parlay Picks for Thursday: Trusting the Talent

NBA expert Adam Taylor is here with one parlay and one same-game parlay to tail across Thursday's NBA action. He breaks down his selections here.
Adam Taylor
Thu, November 11, 10:03 AM EST

NBA Parlay Picks for Thursday: Trusting the Talent

Thursday's NBA Parlay

It's another slow NBA day, meaning we only have a two-game multi-team parlay and one single-game parlay. After the Orlando Magic let me down on a perfect score for yesterday, we're trying to get back to winning ways again today.

NBA Parlay Odds: -103: Risk $100 to win $97

Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!

NBA Parlay Breakdown

On the second night of a back-to-back, after being dismantled by the Boston Celtics, the Toronto Raptors have the enviable job of playing the injury-riddled Philadelphia 76ers, who are looking to regain their momentum after two straight losses.

Without Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Ben Simmons, Doc Rivers is running a limited line-up that has struggled to hang with some of the Eastern Conference's best teams. Pascal Siakam will miss tonight's game as he continues his recovery from a shoulder injury that kept him out for multiple months and shows how Nick Nurse viewed the Celtics as a more challenging game heading into their back-to-back. Toronto plays physical bully-ball and likes to push the pace on every possession, which will hurt a 76ers team with a limited depth chart while their three stars remain on the injury list. We're not expecting the 76ers to win tonight, but we're factoring in Toronto's tired legs, thus giving them a 10.5-point head start heading into tonight's contest.

Indiana has struggled for consistency since the season's opening tip and continues to falter when trying to string a winning run together. In contrast, the Utah Jazz has been rather dominant in their 8-3 start. Despite losing two games earlier this week, the Jazz got back to winning ways by defeating the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday evening, while the Pacers lost to the Denver Nuggets on the first night of their back-to-back. Indiana is sweating on the availability of Caris LeVert, who is a game-time decision due to some back issues. At the same time, the Jazz enters the game with an entire squad minus Rudy Gay, who has been missing for a portion of the early season.

Ranked 2nd in Net Rating, the Jazz are winning games by an average of 9.7 points, while the Pacers are posting a -0.9 Net Rating to rank them 20th in the NBA. Of course, this is basketball, and anything can happen, but I'm not confident the Pacers can overcome a Jazz team who often destroy their opponents with a barrage of three's and stifling defense. As such, we're asking the Pacers to keep the game within 12 points, while accepting a victory would still complete this parlay.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Miami Heat Same-Game Parlay

  • Miami Heat +6
  • Over 210.5 points
  • Odds: +162

Clippers vs. Heat Odds

A back-to-back in the Staples Center is a daunting task; splitting the games between the Los Angeles Lakers and LA Clippers makes things a little more complicated, too, as you can't make game-to-game adjustments. Welcome to the world the Miami Heat find themselves in, as they face the Clippers following the overtime loss to the Lakers last night.

Losing two consecutive games, the Heat now sit at 7-4 on the season and will enter tonight sweating on Jimmy Butler's availability due to an ankle sprain. The Clippers have been undefeated since the turn of the month and have been notching some impressive wins on their climb up the Western Conference rankings.

Neither team has any new additions to their injury report (outside of Butler,) so they will be riding their current momentum into tonight's contest. Despite their two-game slide, the Heat still ranks third in Net Rating with +7.8, which speaks volumes for their early season dominance and how they dismantled teams to begin the season. In what is a marquee match-up, it's tough to select a winner, but the Clippers' additional day of rest will factor into the game plan down the stretch.

We need to hedge our bets here, as both teams are capable of winning and imploding, so let's take the Heat to lose by six or fewer points or to win outright. Backing Miami in this manner is the most logical outcome, in my opinion, due to Miami's defensive structure and offensive potency. We're also expecting the contest to be reasonably high-scoring, with both teams needed to score an average of 105.5 points to complete this parlay, which again, when factoring in the offense, is a fair gamble.

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