NBA Parlay Picks for Friday: Avoiding Injury Riddled Teams
Friday's NBA Parlay
We had another winning day yesterday, and as we head into the weekend, we want to keep the good times rolling. So, we're backing all favorites in tonight's slew of games.
- Brooklyn Nets -7 (Pelicans vs. Nets Odds)
- Portland Trail Blazers -6 (Rockets vs. Trail Blazers Odds)
- Sacramento Kings -6 (Thunder vs. Kings Odds)
NBA Parlay Odds: +649: Risk $100 to win $649
Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!
NBA Parlay Breakdown
No team is having a worse time right now than the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won once in 12 attempts, and are still without Zion Williamson. Of course, that wouldn't be the only bad news for the Pelicans, because when it rains, it pours! Brandon Ingram is questionable for tonight's game due to a hip contusion. However, with the Nets as their next opponents, there's not much the Pelicans can do without Williamson. Brooklyn's rotation is too deep and far too talented for the struggling Pelicans to match pound-for-pound, and it would take a poor effort from the Nets for them to falter against the worst team in the NBA for Net Rating. The Pelicans are losing games by an average of 11 points, yet we're only asking the Nets (who have a +2.7 net rating) to win by seven for the parlay to continue towards our desired outcome.
If you want to talk about teams struggling out of the gate, another is the Houston Rockets, who are 1-10 to start the season, despite their star rookie Jalen Green putting in some serious work for the team. Now, the Rockets are facing off against the Portland Trail Blazers for the first time this season, as they look to limit the impact of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Unfortunately, both teams enter tonight's contest with one of their key rotation players questionable. Norman Powell has a left quad strain for Portland, while Kevin Porter Jr. has a thigh contusion for the Rockets. Let's be honest here, even if the Rockets do have Porter Jr. available for tonight's contest, the team's chances of defeating the Trail Blazers are slim, with their only hope being the Portland's last two defeats have left them short of confidence. Still, sitting at 14th in net rating with a +0.8, the Trail Blazers should be too much for a Rockets team losing games by an average of 7.3 points, making us very confident of the Trail Blazers covering a -7 spread.
Finally, to heap even more pain onto the bottom feeders of the Western Conference, we're taking the Sacramento Kings to make light work of the Oklahoma City Thunder. Now, don't get me wrong, the Thunder are a much sterner opponent than the Pelicans or Trail Blazers, but their two wins against an injury-riddled Los Angeles Lakers team hasn't convinced me that they're anything more than "the best rebuilding team out West." The Thunder currently sit 26th in Net Rating, joint with the Houston Rockets in 27th, both owning a negative 7.3, while the Sacramento Kings sit 19th with a much more reasonable -0.3. Neither of these teams will be expecting a deep post-season run, if one at all, but the Kings have been improved to begin the season, fixing multiple issues that blighted them on the defensive end last year. We're banking on Tyrese Haliburton being cleared to play after starting the day listed as questionable due to lower back tightness, as he's an integral part of how the Kings like to play and how they push the pace. However, Sacramento won't live or die by Haliburton's performance tonight and will only genuinely fear the incredible Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who D'Aaron Fox will offset. As a result, we're expecting the Kings to win a tightly contested contest by 6 points or more, likely in the final few minutes of play.
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Same-Game Parlay
- Boston Celtics +7
- Under 214.5 points
- Odds: +169
The Boston Celtics are developing an identity on the defensive end of the floor and have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to under 90 points. The only exception is the Dallas Mavericks, who Luka Doncic leads, enough said. Milwaukee is almost out of their injury crisis but is still without Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, and Donte DiVincenzo. At the same time, Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for tonight's game with a right ankle sprain.
Here's the thing, Milwaukee has been a reliable team despite their injury struggles, and should Antetokounmpo play, along with Jrue Holiday, the Bucks will have enough firepower in their ranks to pose the Celtics a problem.
On the other hand, Boston is without Jaylen Brown due to a right hamstring strain but will feel confident in their defensive ability and will look to make the Bucks their next shutout target. In terms of Net Rating, both Boston and Milwaukee sit in the lower-mid-teens due to their inconsistent starts to the season.
A big game from either Jayson Tatum or Antetokounmpo will be enough to swing this game one way or another, so we're hedging our bets by taking the Celtics to lose by seven or fewer points while allowing ourselves to be rewarded by a victory. We're also banking on the Celtics defense keeping this game under 214 total points, which recent history tells us is likely.
Charlotte Hornets vs. New York Knicks Same-Game Parlay
- New York Knicks +8.5
- Under 232.5 points
- Odds: -122
After a hot start to the season, inconsistency has crept into the New York Knicks form throughout November, with the team going 2-4 since the turn of the month. After basing their success on the defensive end last season, the Knicks currently rank 26th in defensive rating and are allowing 110.3 points per 100 possessions, in large part due to their focus on the offensive end. Luckily, the Knicks face one of the few teams with a worse defensive record than their own: the Charlotte Hornets.
Charlotte is another team that puts an enormous emphasis on the offensive end, primarily due to the talent they have at their disposal. Yet, they've only won once in November, snapping a five-game losing streak against the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.
The Knicks look to have their entire rotation available in terms of injuries, while the Hornets will be missing PJ Washington due to an elbow injury. Honestly, with how poorly these two teams have been playing this month, it's a coin flip for who comes out with the W, and when things are this close, we do what we do best: hedge.
So we're taking the Knicks to stay within 8 points of the Hornets should they lose, while knowing we still bank a profit if New York registers the W. In comparison, the under 232.5 points total is a fair target because while both teams love to shoot and rank in the top-10 for offensive rating, their combined season average per 100 possessions is 220.8, giving us a 12 point cushion.