Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers Prediction: Can the Sixers Keep It Close?

NBA expert Jonathan Macri is here with his prediction and picks for the Wednesday night matchups between the Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers and the Rockets vs. Bulls.
Jonathan Macri
Wed, November 24, 10:27 AM EST

Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers Prediction: Can the Sixers Keep It Close?

When: Wednesday, November 24, 10:00 p.m. ET

Where to Watch: ESPN

Spread: Warriors -11

Total: 218.5

Click Here For Warriors vs. 76ers Odds

Warriors vs. 76ers Prediction

The tough part is almost over. When Joel Embiid went into health and safety protocols after Philly’s November 6 game against Chicago, the Sixers were 8-2 with the third-best net rating in the league at positive 8.9, in a tier with the Jazz, Heat, and the team they face tonight, the Golden State Warriors.

In the eight games Embiid has missed, Philadelphia has gone just 2-6 with the seventh-worst net rating in the NBA at negative 5.5, although that doesn’t tell the whole story of how they’ve been playing most recently. After beating a Nuggets team that featured a healthy Nikola Jokic in Denver a week ago, the Sixers pushed the line on the Blazers in a 7-point loss before beating the Kings in Sacramento to spoil Alvin Gentry’s coaching debut.

All in all, they have to be happy that they’ll enter Thanksgiving as one of the top 10 teams in the East, especially with Embiid due to return this weekend, and no one has run away with the conference.
Speaking of running away with conferences, Golden State can’t yet make that claim – Phoenix seems intent on never losing again – but at 15-2 with a net rating that is head and shoulders above everyone else in the league, they’ve certainly established themselves as title favorites, what with Klay Thompson set to return at some point in the not too distant future.

The real driver of their success has been defense. After some iffy performances to start the year, they have held opponents to under 100 points per 100 possessions over their last 15 games and at no time has their defense broken. That’s good news against Philly, who has actually managed to keep their offense afloat without Embiid, instead struggling more on the defensive end, with the fourth-lowest defensive rating since the big guy went down.

The Sixers may be without Danny Green, Seth Curry, and Tobias Harris for this one, but even if they play, this line is nowhere near as high as it should be. Golden State has covered 75 percent of their games, and they are home here, where they have an average margin of 16.4 points and 8.8 against the spread, both league highs. So take them and don’t look back.

Warriors vs. 76ers Pick

  • Warriors -11 (-110)

Houston Rockets vs. Chicago Bulls Prediction

When: 8:00 p.m. ET

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Rockets vs. Bulls Odds

Talk about a comedown. One night after winning a fall from ahead, come from behind battle with the Knicks, the Bulls laid an egg on the second night of a back-to-back, losing to the Pacers by 32 points at home.

Chalk it up to one of those nights? Perhaps, although it has to be concerning that this is what happened on the first night, Alex Caruso missed all season. DeMar DeRozan has been Chicago’s plus/minus God all year long. Still, Caruso isn’t far behind, as he provides the Bulls with an extra perimeter defender alongside Lonzo Ball, as well as a guy who can knock down an open shot.

Caruso is questionable for this game, and his status is worth monitoring leading up to tip-off. However, even if he misses the game, Chicago is facing a team that is en route to setting a new offensive futility mark for the modern era.

Not since the Process Sixers has an NBA team flirted with as low an offensive rating as the Rockets currently hold. Houston is scoring 97.3 points per 100 possessions, and against a Bulls team that sports the league’s 10th ranked defense, this might serve as a problem.

This is a road game, but the Rockets still have an average margin of defeat of 9.0 points at home. That’s a hair higher than this line, and it’s against one of the league’s better teams. So give the points on the road.

Rockets vs. Bulls Pick

  • Bulls -8.5 (-110)
Jonathan Macri
JCMacriNBA
Dean of Knicks Film School, host: KFS Pod, co-host: Pick N Pod. There isn't much about Knicks basketball than Jonathan doesn't know and he's here to break down the big games each and every week.
Jun 2021
Record
Wins
8
Losses
7
Push
0
ROI
3.35%
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