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NBA props expert John Hyslop is here with his top player prop pick for Wednesday night's NBA action.
ANALYSIS

NBA Player Prop Picks for Wednesday: Stuffing the Stat Sheet  

Betting a guy to go over his points total is fun. I'll admit it. I would never bet shame anyone, but if we're being honest, it's just a touch more fun to go full-on peripheral stat. It just is. Following your guy around the screen yelling at him to pass the ball or jump for a rebound is pure next-level stuff. It's right up there with a turnover stat. So before we move on to Thanksgiving, I wanted to go hard in the paint one more time on a peripheral move. I think I have the perfect one tonight.

Brandon Ingram Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (+110)

Lines available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

The good news is you can play these anywhere. DraftKings has the best price on this one, but FanDuel has this option, and so does BetMGM. If you aren't betting on these regularly, you should start. They come into play when you think your guy is getting hosed in both markets, but the books are attaching -160 or higher. It's a great pivot.

Tonight the books slapped a 3.5 -150 on Ingram's assists over and a 5.5 on his rebound number. Now I don't want to go 5.5 for rebounds, and I'm not paying -150 for his assists, so here we are. Before he got hurt, Ingram went over this number in all six games. So he can go way over in both numbers, which is huge for these moves.

Since he's come back from injury, he's had a minute restriction in two games, and the Pelicans were blown out in another. He didn't get home in any of those games for obvious reasons. Well, guess what? There is no minute limit tonight, and I don't think the Pelicans will get blown out.

In just the last game, Ingram hit 12 in this market and two games before he went for 17. I think tonight his floor is 4-5 assists and 6-7 boards. If I'm right, that means we're at least getting 10 here, which is more than 9.5. Either way, this shouldn't be plus money.

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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