NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Finding Value in Close Spots
NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Finding Value in Close Spots
Saturday's NBA Parlay
Yesterday was a complete goose egg, nothing went our way across all of our parlays, but we had the right idea! There's a bunch of good games tonight that are oozing value, and we want back in the win column as soon as possible, so let's dive in.
- Chicago Bulls +10 (Nets vs. Bulls Odds)
- Miami Heat +12 (Bucks vs Heat Odds)
- Golden State Warriors -5 (Warriors vs Spurs Odds)
NBA Parlay Odds: +161: Risk $100 to win $161
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NBA Parlay Breakdown
The Brooklyn Nets are heavily favored to win tonight's contest against the Chicago Bulls, and I can totally understand why. The Nets are rolling right now, and Kevin Durant has found a groove as we barrel towards the mid-way point of the season. It's worth noting that the Chicago Bulls defeated the Nets in their last meeting, and yes, both Durant and James Harden were playing! Simply put, the Bulls are no joke. Following their win against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Nets want to keep their winning streak going as they bid to climb the Eastern Conference ranking. The Bulls will look at their last win against Brooklyn and feel like they can get another result tonight, even with the possibility of Alex Caruso being unavailable – he starts the day listed as questionable. Statistically, these two teams are pretty quickly matched, with the Bulls having the edge on offense and the Nets on defense, but let's be honest, this game will come down to who's scorers get hot, and you always back the team with Durant and Harden in that instance. We're giving the Bulls a +10 spread if they decide to let history repeat itself.
Still, without Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, the Miami Heat will have a challenging task in stopping the Milwaukee Bucks. However, with Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as doubtful, the Heat may have caught a break in what would be an almost impossible task otherwise. Brook Lopez continues to miss games, allowing backup center DeWayne Dedmon and some breathing room as he fills in for Adebayo. Even though Milwaukee could be missing their star player, they will still lean on Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton in tonight's game, while the Heat will look towards Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, and Duncan Robinson to get them over the line. It's hard to see a hobbled Heat team winning this game, but they surprised us yesterday by getting the W, so anything is possible when facing a Miami team who never quit. Milwaukee, however, had been on an 8-game winning streak until Giannis went down, and they lost to Toronto. I still think Milwaukee has the scoring ability to win tonight, but can't write off the Heat, so we're giving Miami a +12 spread to keep things interesting.
Finally, the Golden State Warriors take on the San Antonio Spurs. After losing to the Phoenix Suns earlier in the week, the Warriors got their revenge in the follow-up game. They will now look to embark on yet another unbeaten run to dominate the league and prove their credentials as championship contenders. The Spurs, on the other hand, have won their last three games as they begin to figure out how to use their youth to their advantage, which is why they're sitting 5th in pace across the league. No amount of fast buckets will get the Spurs over the number 1 team in the league. The Warriors sit 7th in pace and first in net rating, meaning any advantage San Antonio could possess over their opponents would be minimal at best. With no new injuries to report on either side, I can't envision anything other than a Warriors win, and a -5 spread should be enough to get us over the hump into Victorville today.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Boston Celtics Same-Game Parlay
- Celtics -2.5
- Celtics Moneyline
- Odds: +275
Damian Lillard is a massive loss for the Portland Trail Blazers in tonight's game against the Boston Celtics. On the second night of a back-to-back, Boston played an exceptional brand of offense against the Utah Jazz in their last game, and if they can put on a repeat performance tonight, they should have no problem adding to their season win tally. Jaylen Brown will likely be a game-time decision, and we're still unsure of Romeo Langford's status after rolling his ankle last night. Still, the Celtics have scoring options across the floor and off the bench with or without their All-Star wing, while the Trail Blazers will be banking on big nights from CJ McCollum and Norman Powell.
Portland is struggling for consistency right now. Having fired their general manager yesterday, the turmoil around the franchise continues to grow, which is likely to have some form of impact on the on-court production. I can't look past Boston for tonight's game, especially given how they performed against the Jazz. A -2.5 spread is perfect when expecting legs to tire down the stretch.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Same-Game Parlay
- Grizzlies +11
- Under 232.5 Points
- Odds: -126
The Memphis Grizzlies haven't missed a step in Ja Morant's absence, even defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder by 70+ points earlier this week. They face a Dallas Mavericks team who suffered a surprise loss against the New Orleans Pelicans last night courtesy of a Brandon Ingram master class. Kristaps Porzingis may or may not return tonight, which leaves this game in a state of flux, yet with how the Grizzles have been playing lately (they've won their last three games) and how they dismantled the Thunder, it's hard to bet against them.
Of course, you have to factor in Luka Doncic to this contest, but it seems that teams aren't fearing him now, as shown by the Mavericks 11-10 record. Of course, I'm still not backing the Grizzlies to win – no matter how good they're playing, their star point guard is missing, and they can't ride the crest of this wave forever. But, the Mavericks are inconsistent, and Porzingis is a big loss (even if he plays, he won't be 100%) which is why we're giving the Grizzlies a +11 spread, allowing us room to win or lose and still make a slight bit of profit.
Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.