NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Fade Injured Clippers
NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Fade Injured Clippers
NBA Parlay Picks
- Chicago Bulls +10 (Bulls vs Heat Odds)
- Philadelphia 76ers +11 (Warriors vs 76ers)
- Houston Rockets +15 (Rockets vs Grizzlies)
Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!
NBA PARLAY Breakdown
We were two wins away from a 100% day yesterday, but we're still on the right track today. I've slightly modified the approach for today's parlay's; we're still going with "underdogs," but this time, we're looking at close games that could go either way. It's bound to be a fun ride, full of "edge of your seat" moments, so let's dive in.
First up, we have the Chicago Bulls facing off with the Miami Heat in their second contest of the season, where the Heat won their last meeting by a three point margin. Entering today's game, the Heat are still without Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Markieff Morris, while they're also sweating on Duncan Robinson's availability. Usually, when the favored team is missing so many core players, you start to lean away from them, yet the Bulls are struggling for health too. Alex Caruso starts today listed as questionable. DeMar DeRozan, Derrick Jones Jr., Javonte Green, and Coby White are all out for Chicago and Patrick Williams, who is out for the season. It's hard to lean into either team winning tonight, but the Bulls have Lonzo Ball, Zach Lavine, and Nikola Vucevic all available, which makes taking them on a +10 spread an absolute no-brainer. Sure, the Heat have Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry starting, but the Bulls have a guard, wing, center combo, and that's usually a good blueprint for success.
Next up, we have the Philadelphia 76ers testing their might against the Golden State Warriors in what will be a battle between size and skill. History tells us that the Warriors usually come out victorious when teams try to go big against them. Still, those teams don't usually possess Joel Embiid manning the middle of the court or Tobias Harris operating on the wings. Neither team has any new injuries to report, so we can look at some numbers to help us make our decision. The Warriors currently rank second for conversion rate around the rim, hitting 70% of their shots within four feet, while they're also a dangerous team from the corner three, sitting fourth in the NBA with a 37.7% conversion rate. However, don't let Steph Curry's shooting confuse you. The Warriors are not one of the best three-pointing teams from outside of the corners, sitting just 19th in the NBA. So, how will the 76ers do when defending arguably the best team in the NBA right now? Unfortunately, it looks like the Warriors' offensive strengths are the 76ers defensive weaknesses, with Philadelphia allowing 64.7% of the team's shots at the rim to go down and also ranking 22nd in points allowed from the corner three. It would make sense to favor the Warriors then, which is precisely what we're going to do! We're taking the 76ers on a +11 spread and expecting Philadelphia to punish the Warriors down the middle while using their perimeter defenders to keep things close.
Finally, we're going with the Houston Rockets and Memphis Grizzlies to round out this parlay. Houston have been on somewhat of a winning streak lately, yet the Grizzlies have somehow found a new gear in the absence of Ja Morant, which has undoubtedly been impressive! However, Memphis is down to bare bones tonight, with Dillon Brooks, Brandon Clarke, and Ja Morant all missing – that's three essential pieces of their rotation right there. Houston hasn't released their injury report at the time of writing, but we can assume Jalen Green and Usman Garuba won't be playing tonight. Anyway, despite the Rockets' recent uptick in form, the Grizzlies sit a solid 12 places above them in the league's net rating while boasting a better offense and comparable defense. This game will come down to the wire, and either team could wind up winning it, making the Rockets on a +15 spread arguably the best value bet of the day.
Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles Clippers Same Game Parlay
- Orlando Magic +16
- Over 210.5
No Kawhi Leonard, no Paul George, and likely no Nicolas Batum – the Los Angeles Clippers are missing some of their most impactful players heading into tonight's game against the Orlando Magic. However, after watching the Clippers dismantle the Boston Celtics without their stars earlier this week, we can't expect the team to regress far enough that the Magic become a problem for them. Brandon Boston Jr. looks ready to grab his opportunity with both hands. At the same time, role players such as Marcus Morris and Luke Kennard can step into more prominent offensive roles for a short period. Orlando has no new injuries to report but currently sits in the bottom three of the NBA for offensive rating and 29th in defensive rating. Stars or no stars, it's hard to see the Clippers, who play a balanced offensive game, lose this contest. However, I love Cole Anthony's game and his ability to go supernova in the blink of an eye, so I have to allow for the slightest possibility the Magic pull this out of the hat! A +16 spread for Orlando makes perfect sense tonight, as the Clippers' depth should see them through this game on route to yet another victory.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Same-Game Parlay
- San Antonio Spurs +10
- Over 212.5 points
This season, no team has been hurt more by injuries than the Denver Nuggets. Jamal Murray continues to rehab from his injury. Michael Porter Jr. is out for the season, as is PJ Dozier, and now Austin Rivers has entered into health and safety protocols. Yet, somehow, the Nuggets remain competitive thanks to Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon's blossoming partnership. Tonight, the Nuggets face off against the San Antonio Spurs, who, similar to the Rockets, have found somewhat of a winning formula as of late.
Furthermore, the Spurs defeated the Nuggets on Thursday night and will feel confident in repeating their performance again tonight. The Spurs have seen Dejaunte Murray take another step in his development this season, while Doug McDermott is thriving in his role with the team. Honestly, I kind of like the Spurs in this game, but you can't count out a team that boasts the reigning MVP, regardless of their current injury plight. I think there's tremendous value in taking San Antonio on a +10 spread, and I feel very confident in seeing this parlay get over the finish line.
Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.