NBA Parlay Picks for Monday: Backing Slight Underdogs
NBA Parlay Picks for Monday: Backing Slight Underdogs
Monday's NBA Parlay
- Miami Heat +11 (Heat vs Cavaliers Odds)
- Memphis Grizzlies +11.5 (Grizzlies vs 76ers Odds)
- Los Angeles Clippers +11.5 (Clippers vs Suns Odds)
Odds: +137 (Bet $100 to win $137)
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NBA Parlay Breakdown
New week, the same strategy, as we look to break our wishy-washy win cycle and get some consistency hitting our bank accounts this week. Today, we're looking at teams who are slight underdogs but have every chance of winning their games, allowing us to hedge our bets while still being conservative.
Today, we begin with the Miami Heat, who shockingly are considered underdogs in their game against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Don't get it twisted, though. The Heat aren't a bad team. They're just going through a rough patch with injuries and the like. Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Markieff Morris, and Victor Oladipo remain out of the rotation, forcing the Heat into some tough decisions with their rotations and weakening them on both sides of the floor. The Cavaliers are only missing Collin Sexton and have the rest of their roster available for tonight's contest, which means the Heat are facing a team of versatile giants, led by the ever-improving point guard Darius Garland. At the start of last week, these two teams met each other, with the Cavaliers winning that contest easily, in what can only be considered a blow-out. We're hoping that the Heat can keep the scoreline to something more reasonable today, as we're backing them on a +11 spread, which one would expect is enough.
The Memphis Grizzlies face off against the Philadelphia 76ers this evening, as they hope to continue building on their 7-1 form from the last two weeks. Memphis, who is still without Ja Morant, will be sweating on the availability of Jaren Jackson Jr., who is listed as questionable to start the day, along with Steven Adams, who is doubtful to participate. When playing against a Sixers team that boasts a healthy and motivated Joel Embiid, you need your best big men on the floor, so for the Grizzlies to possibly lose both of theirs due to injury is a hammer blow to their chances of finding success tonight. Philadelphia has no new injuries to note and is coming off a recent victory over the Golden State Warriors, which is impressive. I feel confident in the Sixers' ability to beat the Grizzlies, especially given their injury concerns, but I'm backing Memphis on a +11.5 spread in sticking with the underdog system.
In a clash of Western Conference power punchers, the final segment in our parlay is the Los Angeles Clippers vs. the Phoenix Suns. Of course, any game the Suns participate in, see them instantly installed as the favorites, which means we're backing the Clippers tonight. Honestly, if the Suns weren't without Devin Booker and possibly Deandre Ayton, I likely would have changed my approach to this parlay because the Clippers will struggle tonight without Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. However, it would seem both teams are missing some of their core pieces which help level the playing ground slightly – but please be aware that Chris Paul is healthy and will be participating in tonight's game. The Clippers have only played two games without George since he got injured and have won both of them, but neither the Boston Celtics nor the Orlando Magic will provide the type of test that Phoenix will later today. We're backing the Clippers on a +11.5 spread, but I wouldn't blame you if you wanted to swap them out and support the Suns on a money line or a reasonable spread.
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Same-Game Parlay
- Milwaukee Bucks -2
- Milwaukee Bucks Money Line
The Boston Celtics are slipping right now, having lost their last three games, and have shown no signs of being able to turn the tide. Sure, the return of Jaylen Brown tonight will be a massive boost to their chances of success, but Brown was uninspiring on his last return from injury, and we can't bank on things being any different this time around. The Milwaukee Bucks have won 8 of their last ten games and have firmly put their early-season struggles in the rear-view mirror. Of course, Brook Lopez continues to miss games which is a big hit to the Bucks offensive spacing, but they're getting by just fine in his absence. The Bucks are 14 places higher than the Celtics in offensive rating and three places ahead of them in defensive rating, meaning they're a more consistent unit on both ends of the floor. And given the Celtics' 24-for-91 three-point shooting over their last three games, you wouldn't be well served to expect their offense to kick into gear suddenly. In a move away from the usual strategy, we're backing the Bucks to win this game, covering them on a -2 spread and backing them to hit the money line as outright winners.
Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers Same-Game Parlay
- Golden State Warriors -4
- Golden State Warriors Money Line
Fresh off their loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, the Golden State Warriors will be looking to get back in the win column when they take on the Indiana Pacers later today. Indiana is coming off a week where their entire roster was essentially made available for trade discussions, a move that saw the team rack up three consecutive wins as a byproduct. Frankly, Golden State is a better team than Indiana. They have the added motivation of helping Steph Curry continue his march towards becoming the NBA's All-Time leader in made three-pointers – something he's only a game or two away from doing. The Warriors remain top of the NBA in net rating, 9 places higher than the Pacers, and boast a better offensive and defensive rating than their Eastern Conference foes. Sure, Indiana's players are now vying to put themselves in the shop window should any trade discussions begin to bear fruit. Still, the Warriors haven't lost two consecutive games all season, and I can't see that starting today. As such, we're backing Golden State on a -4 spread along with them winning outright on the money line.
Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.