NBA Parlay Picks for Wednesday: Backing the Huge Underdogs
NBA Parlay Picks for Wednesday: Backing the Huge Underdogs
Wednesday's NBA Parlay
We got back into the 100%-win column yesterday with a sweep of our two parlays, and I aim to keep us there again today as we look at some of the best value underdogs in tonight's slate of games. As things stand, none of tonight's contests have been postponed, but that doesn't mean many rosters remain at full strength!
- Miami Heat +14 (76ers vs Heat Odds)
- Indiana Pacers +10.5 (Bucks vs Pacers Odds)
- Washington Wizards +11 (Kings vs Wizards Odds)
NBA Parlay Odds: -103: Risk $100 to win $97
Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!
NBA Parlay Breakdown
First up with have the Miami Heat facing the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami is still struggling for able bodies, with Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, and Markieff Morris all out tonight, while Tyler Herro is also questionable to participate. Philadelphia isn't much better off, with Seth Curry and Joel Embiid questionable, which would leave Tobias Harris to man the fort should neither of the Sixers' other primary guys play tonight. Frankly, both teams are potentially hobbled today, so statistics and numbers go out the window here. But Philadelphia's two guys are only questionable, which means there's a chance they could participate in tonight's game, so we have to expect them to be potential winners here. If Embiid is out, then maybe the momentum swings, but we don't want to take that chance. So, taking Miami on an insane +14 spread gives us control of this affair without losing too much in terms of value.
Next up, the Indiana Pacers are up against the Milwaukee Bucks, who have almost their entire starting five in health and safety protocols. Giannis Antetokounmpo, DeMarcus Cousins, Wesley Matthews, Khris Middleton, and Semi Ojeleye are all due to miss tonight's game, while Brook Lopez and Donte DiVincenzo also remain out. However, after navigating a series of injury issues earlier this season, the Bucks have been here before and somehow found a way to stay competitive during that crisis. The problem for the Bucks is that the Pacers are near full strength and are chasing some form of relevancy after a difficult start to the season, meaning they will pull no punches against their weakened opponents tonight. Unfortunately, I have no faith in the Pacers winning a "winnable" game and fear they will get in their own way down the stretch. But, giving them a +10.5 spread makes this contest incredibly valuable to our parlay and fills me with confidence.
Finally, the Washington Wizards take on the Sacramento Kings, with neither team having too many injury issues to worry about. The Kings are slightly favored in tonight's contest, which shocked me considering how impressive the Wizards have been throughout the season thus far. And by impressive, I mean that relative to their expectations heading into the new season. Still, the Kings and Wizards are only separated by two spaces in net rating, with the Wizards marginally winning that battle. The Kings have the better offense and are currently ranked 13th in the league instead of the Wizards down in 22nd, but Sacramento's terrible defense lets them down, with the team sitting 28th in the league. Of course, both teams boast their star players, but it's fair to say that Bradley Beal will be the best player on the court tonight – and he's wearing a Wizards jersey. When two bad teams such as this face-off, you usually side with the roster with the best player, which leads us to take the Wizards on a +11 spread tonight. I honestly can't see the Kings winning by a blow-out, so I am excited to see this parlay come in and fill all our bank accounts with some holiday cheer.
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Clippers Same-Game Parlay
- Clippers +15
- Over 214.5 points
- Odds: +138
You have to feel sorry for the Los Angeles Clippers, right? No Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and no Nicolas Batum – now they face the Utah Jazz, who love to push the pace and hit early threes. So you begin to wonder how the Clippers will limit Utah's #1 ranked offense. The answer is simple: turnovers, Utah play with such a high pace that they're consistently susceptible to turning the ball over, either from errant passes or from teams pressuring the ball-handler high up the floor. The level of intensity required to slow down the Jazz is grueling, and Ty Lue will need his Clippers team to give every ounce of energy if they wish to come away with a victory. Of course, missing your two best players, along with a veteran floor spacer, means the Clippers are the definition of an underdog in tonight's contest. We're backing the Clippers with a +15 spread here, but if you're still not confident of this parlay hitting, I recommend you back the Jazz on the money line.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers Same-Game Parlay
- Lakers +9
- Over 213.5 points
- Odds: +134
As usual for the Los Angeles Lakers, they're dealing with some injury issues and will not have a full roster for tonight's contest against the Dallas Mavericks. However, they should have Russell Westbrook, Anthony Davis, and LeBron James available for the game, which means you can't count them out as potential winners. Dallas also has both of their stars ready and waiting to go tonight, making this one of the better contests of the day, from a fan's perspective anyway.
Neither the Mavericks nor the Lakers are ranked highly for net rating – which means either their offense or defense is letting them down, but which is it? Well, the Lakers sit 23rd in offensive rating, meaning they're among the bottom ten teams in the league for efficiency, while the Mavericks are a few spots higher, in 17th place. On defense, the Lakers sit 11th and are 0.4 points per 100 from having a top-10 ranked defensive unit, but the Mavericks sit down in 15th. So, this is where the game will be won – two poor offensive teams, but one of them has a solid defense, meaning Luka Doncic will need to work extra hard to have his usual level of impact – especially around the rim. However, the Lakers are currently lacking depth, which is what swings the game slightly in Dallas' favor because your starters can't play every minute of the game, no matter how much you wish they could. As such, we're taking the Lakers on a +9 spread for tonight's contest, allowing us wiggle room on both ends of the spectrum.
Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.