NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Backing the Surprise Underdogs
NBA Parlay Picks for Saturday: Backing the Surprise Underdogs
Saturday's NBA Parlay
We deviated from the strategy yesterday and paid the price, so we revert to the tried and trusted method of underdogs. What's crazy is that some of the league's best teams are considered underdogs for their games today because COVID is running rampant throughout rosters around the country.
- Orlando Magic +15 (Nets vs. Magic Odds)
- Golden State Warriors +12 (Raptors vs Warriors Odds)
- Milwaukee Bucks +12 (Bucks vs Cavaliers Odds)
NBA Parlay Odds: -118: Risk $100 to win $82
Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!
NBA Parlay Breakdown
In our first game of the day, the Orlando Magic takes on the hobbled Brooklyn Nets, who just yesterday recalled Kyrie Irving for away games to help ease their struggles. It's worth noting that the Magic are also in dire need of help, with COVID completely ravaging their roster. Brooklyn is missing 11 players tonight while they wait on the availability of another 2, and the Magic are without ten guys and also waiting on another 2. So, we're essentially getting a G-League game on an NBA schedule, meaning it's almost impossible to predict who will walk out victorious. It's going to be a rough few weeks for finding value, and backing large spreads is going to be the best way possible. We're going to take the Magic on +15 because there's no telling how well either team will play tonight.
I don't know who makes these odd's, but when I saw the Golden State Warriors listed as the underdog for their game against the Toronto Raptors this morning, I had to refresh the screen a couple of times to make sure it wasn't a mistake. This is the same Warriors team who just defeated the Boston Celtics and hasn't been hindered by the current COVID breakout; it's also the same Warriors who are statistically the best team in the NBA. And somehow, someway, the Raptors are the favorite? I don't get it. Of course, the Warriors are yet to release their injury report, so maybe there's something on there that we don't know about yet, but as things stand, the Raptors don't jump out at me as favorites to win tonight's contest. But hey, if we can get value by backing the Warriors as underdogs, then that's what we're going to do! A +12 spread is more than enough to have us feeling good about ourselves as we move onto the last game on this three-legged parlay.
Finally, we have the Milwaukee Bucks, another team going through COVID protocols, versus the Cleveland Cavaliers. With Khris Middleton set to be a game-time decision and Giannis Antetokounmpo out for the contest, it's understandable why the Cavaliers are marginal favorites for this game. Evan Mobley and Darius Garland have been excellent throughout the season thus far, and the Cavs size will pose a problem for a Bucks team missing 7 of its core rotation. Still, the Bucks have remained relevant despite their injury struggles throughout the season. While the Cavaliers are better than expected this year, they're not a contending team, nor do they have the required experience to outwit their veteran counterparts. Sure, the Bucks are shorthanded, but should Middleton play, they will still have two of their big three on the court, and that should be enough to keep things close and respectable. We're backing Milwaukee on a +12 spread because, as we've seen over the last few days, teams rotations are subject to change and are at the mercy of COVID. So, giving ourselves the most significant cushion possible is the smart thing to do.
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks Same-Game Parlay
- Celtics Moneyline
- Over 210 Points
- Odds: +197
I'm deviating from the plan a little here, but the Celtics showed impressive fortitude as they ran the Golden State Warriors close last night, and now, on the second night of a back-to-back, they take on a spiraling New York Knicks team. While the Celtics were hit by COVID protocols yesterday, as things stand, they still have their two All-Star wings available, which should put them in the driving seat for the contest.
The Knicks, who have seven players in protocols and are waiting on a decision for Derrick Rose's availability, have been struggling of late. Since removing Kemba Walker from their rotation, they have struggled to find ways to close-out games. We can expect a rugged performance from the Knicks against a division rival. Still, their roster is depleted, confidence is shot, and there's no leadership on the floor – even Julius Randle has gone cold after flashing All-NBA potential to begin the season.
We still have plenty of time for more players to enter protocols and need to be wary of the impact that could have on this parlay. Still, the Celtics seem to be finding their pride once again, and that can be a valuable tool when your back is against the wall, so we're taking them on the money line.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Clippers Same-Game Parlay
- Thunder +13
- Over 208.5 Points
- Odds: +151
Here we have a predominantly unaffected game by the current COVID protocols ravaging the league. Of course, that could change in the blink of an eye, but we have to go on the data we have. The Clippers are still without Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, Serge Ibaka, and Nicolas Batum – but George could potentially feature after being labeled "questionable" to start the day.
The Thunder, regardless of injuries, doesn't project to be much of a problem for Ty Lue's team. However, the Thunder have proven a resilient team this year and have multiple comeback wins to their name – they never give up and keep pushing until the final minute. Let's be honest here if George plays and is close to the play her was before his elbow injury, this game won't be close, but if he sits out, there will be scope for the Thunder to win this game, which is why a +13 spread gives us options on both ends of the spectrum.
Adam has been covering the Boston Celtics since 2015 but has been an NBA fan since 1994. Never one to get too high, or too low, Adam likes to blend video and stats together for a clearer picture of the NBA game.